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2013-11-13

Model Predictions

Model Florida State Seminoles UCF Knights Spread Result
Elo 57.1% 42.9% -2.6 โœ“ (9.4 off)
Bradley-Terry 74.3% 25.7% - โœ“
Margin 78.7% 21.3% -7.2 โœ“ (4.8 off)
Pythagorean 60.5% 39.5% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 87.9% 12.1% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 88.1% 11.9% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 64.6% 35.4% - โœ“

Actual: UCF Knights -12 (68-80). Ratings: 2013-14 season-end ratings.

Florida State Seminoles

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Robert Gilchrist * 31 5-9 0-1 0-4 6 0 1 3 0 10 11 -
Devon Bookert * 29 6-12 1-2 4-7 3 5 2 0 2 17 13 -
Okaro White * 26 4-7 1-1 4-6 4 1 1 4 3 13 13 -
Montay Brandon * 24 3-7 0-1 1-2 9 3 2 0 1 7 13 -
Boris Bojanovsky * 7 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 0 1 -
Ian Miller 31 5-13 1-6 7-7 3 1 2 0 2 18 9 -
Aaron Thomas 30 3-5 0-0 3-4 2 3 3 1 5 9 8 -
Michael Ojo 12 1-2 0-0 0-1 6 0 0 0 4 2 2 -
Jarquez Smith 10 2-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 1 4 3 -

UCF Knights

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tristan Spurlock * 36 2-8 1-5 3-4 6 2 1 0 3 8 6 -
Kasey Wilson * 35 4-10 4-6 3-4 3 1 0 3 1 15 11 -
Calvin Newell * 35 6-12 1-2 2-5 3 5 4 0 5 15 10 -
Isaiah Sykes * 27 5-15 0-1 3-4 5 1 1 0 4 13 1 -
Staphon Blair * 15 3-5 0-0 0-1 5 0 1 1 1 6 7 -
Eugene McCrory 23 4-7 0-0 0-1 9 0 0 1 0 8 11 -
Matt Williams Jr. 13 1-5 1-4 0-2 1 0 0 0 1 3 -2 -
Daiquan Walker 10 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 1 1 0 4 0 -3 -
Steven Haney 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Dylan Karell 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Brandon Goodwin 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

* = starter