Model Predictions
| Model | UCF Knights | Valparaiso Beacons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 38.6% | 61.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 39.3% | 60.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 41.6% | 58.4% | +1.9 | ✓ (13.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.0% | 60.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 51.4% | 48.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 51.5% | 48.5% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 44.7% | 55.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Valparaiso Beacons +15 (85-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UCF Knights
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tristan Spurlock * | 34 | 3-12 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Calvin Newell * | 34 | 4-15 | 2-7 | 6-8 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 5 | - |
| Kasey Wilson * | 27 | 6-11 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 11 | - |
| Isaiah Sykes * | 23 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Daiquan Walker * | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Brandon Goodwin | 20 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 9 | - |
| Matt Williams | 17 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Staphon Blair | 12 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Steven Haney | 12 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Eugene McCrory | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Dylan Karell | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Valparaiso Beacons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alec Peters * | 33 | 5-9 | 4-7 | 2-3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 11 | - |
| LaVonte Dority * | 29 | 2-7 | 1-5 | 7-7 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Lexus Williams * | 27 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Jubril Adekoya * | 24 | 4-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Moussa Gueye * | 16 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Jordan Coleman | 30 | 4-10 | 0-4 | 7-8 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 10 | - |
| Bobby Capobianco | 26 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 22 | - |
| Vashil Fernandez | 12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Clay Yeo | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter