Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Cougars | UCF Knights | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 76.9% | 23.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 58.7% | 41.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 83.9% | 16.1% | -9.1 | ✗ (30.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.8% | 55.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 21.0% | 79.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 54.8% | 45.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 54.6% | 45.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: UCF Knights +21 (104-83). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Houston Cougars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. House Jr. * | 30 | 7-13 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 10 | - |
| L.J. Rose * | 29 | 5-12 | 0-3 | 6-8 | 3 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 17 | - |
| T. Thomas * | 27 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 4 | - |
| D. Knowles * | 21 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| B. Morris * | 14 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | - |
| J. Simmons | 19 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| J. Stiggers | 19 | 8-13 | 5-10 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 10 | - |
| T. Womack | 18 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -1 | - |
| L. Barnes | 12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | - |
| J.J. Richardson | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
UCF Knights
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| I. Sykes * | 37 | 8-12 | 1-3 | 7-10 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 24 | 27 | - |
| T. Spurlock * | 24 | 3-9 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 0 | - |
| S. Blair * | 24 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 11 | 14 | - |
| C. Newell * | 23 | 3-10 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 3 | - |
| I. Lang * | 7 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -1 | - |
| M. Williams Jr. | 22 | 4-8 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 11 | - |
| D. Walker | 22 | 5-6 | 2-3 | 8-9 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 20 | - |
| K. Wilson | 21 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 8 | - |
| J. McBride | 12 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| E. McCrory | 4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 9 | - |
| B. Goodwin | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter