Model Predictions
| Model | UCF Knights | Cincinnati Bearcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 12.0% | 88.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 9.3% | 90.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 6.1% | 93.9% | +15.0 | ✓ (3.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 28.3% | 71.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 2.2% | 97.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 2.2% | 97.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 20.6% | 79.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Cincinnati Bearcats +18 (69-51). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UCF Knights
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isaiah Sykes * | 38 | 2-12 | 0-0 | 5-9 | 8 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Matt Williams * | 24 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Staphon Blair * | 23 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Brandon Goodwin * | 22 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 8 | - |
| Eugene McCrory * | 21 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Calvin Newell | 27 | 5-10 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 5 | - |
| Kasey Wilson | 24 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Tristan Spurlock | 10 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Justin McBride | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Daiquan Walker | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Steven Haney | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Dylan Karell | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Isaac Lang | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Cincinnati Bearcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Jackson * | 38 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 12 | 16 | - |
| Sean Kilpatrick * | 27 | 6-11 | 3-6 | 4-4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 13 | - |
| Titus Rubles * | 22 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 14 | - |
| Ge'Lawn Guyn * | 20 | 2-6 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Shaq Thomas * | 17 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Jermaine Sanders | 31 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 3-3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Troy Caupain | 23 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | - |
| Kevin Johnson | 14 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | - |
| David Nyarsuk | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Derek Cox | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Zack Tobler | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter