Model Predictions
| Model | Cincinnati Bearcats | UCF Knights | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 21.7% | 78.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 52.8% | 47.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 64.9% | 35.1% | -3.4 | ✓ (24.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 82.6% | 17.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 93.9% | 6.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 92.1% | 7.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 92.1% | 7.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UCF Knights -28 (49-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cincinnati Bearcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Kilpatrick * | 29 | 8-16 | 6-12 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 11 | - |
| J. Jackson * | 26 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 11 | - |
| T. Rubles * | 24 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| S. Thomas * | 24 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 2 | - |
| G. Guyn * | 13 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| J. Sanders | 24 | 4-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 11 | - |
| J. Lawrence | 21 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - |
| T. Caupain | 19 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 11 | - |
| K. Johnson | 15 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - |
| D. Nyarsuk | 5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
UCF Knights
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| I. Sykes * | 37 | 5-15 | 1-4 | 2-6 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 13 | 5 | - |
| C. Newell * | 26 | 3-9 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 4 | - |
| T. Spurlock * | 24 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 6 | - |
| S. Blair * | 20 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - |
| B. Goodwin * | 14 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. McBride | 20 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 8 | - |
| M. Williams Jr. | 20 | 1-6 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - |
| K. Wilson | 15 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| D. Walker | 12 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| S. Haney | 6 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| E. McCrory | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| D. Karell | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter