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2014-02-19

Model Predictions

Model Cincinnati Bearcats UCF Knights Spread Result
Elo 74.5% 25.5% -7.8 โœ“ (20.2 off)
Bradley-Terry 84.5% 15.5% - โœ“
Margin 84.5% 15.5% -9.3 โœ“ (18.7 off)
Pythagorean 65.7% 34.3% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 91.8% 8.2% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 91.8% 8.2% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 69.0% 31.0% - โœ“

Actual: UCF Knights -28 (49-77). Ratings: 2013-14 season-end ratings.

Cincinnati Bearcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Sean Kilpatrick * 29 8-16 6-12 1-2 2 1 1 0 0 23 11 -
Justin Jackson * 26 5-12 0-0 0-2 7 1 3 4 2 10 11 -
Titus Rubles * 24 2-6 0-1 2-2 4 3 1 0 0 6 8 -
Shaq Thomas * 24 4-8 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 1 2 8 2 -
Ge'Lawn Guyn * 13 2-4 1-2 0-0 3 1 0 0 1 5 4 -
Jermaine Sanders 24 4-5 1-2 0-0 5 1 2 0 1 9 11 -
Jermaine Lawrence 21 0-4 0-0 1-2 5 0 0 2 0 1 4 -
Troy Caupain 19 2-2 1-1 0-0 1 6 1 0 0 5 11 -
Kevin Johnson 15 2-4 0-1 1-1 2 3 0 1 0 5 7 -
David Nyarsuk 5 2-3 0-0 1-1 0 0 1 0 0 5 3 -

UCF Knights

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Isaiah Sykes * 37 5-15 1-4 2-6 10 2 1 1 7 13 5 -
Calvin Newell * 26 3-9 2-7 0-0 2 3 2 0 2 8 4 -
Tristan Spurlock * 24 2-5 1-3 2-2 4 1 0 2 3 7 6 -
Staphon Blair * 20 0-3 0-0 2-2 5 0 0 3 0 2 7 -
Brandon Goodwin * 14 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 2 0 0 1 0 0 -
Justin McBride 20 2-4 0-0 4-4 5 0 0 0 1 8 8 -
Matt Williams Jr. 20 1-6 1-5 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 3 0 -
Kasey Wilson 15 1-4 1-2 0-1 2 0 0 0 0 3 1 -
Daiquan Walker 12 1-4 0-3 0-0 2 2 0 0 0 2 2 -
Steven Haney 6 1-2 1-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 1 -
Eugene McCrory 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
Dylan Karell 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter