Model Predictions
| Model | Louisville Cardinals | UCF Knights | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 30.9% | 69.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 70.9% | 29.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 61.6% | 38.4% | -2.6 | ✓ (22.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 85.8% | 14.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 96.8% | 3.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 96.1% | 3.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 96.1% | 3.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UCF Knights -25 (65-90). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Louisville Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Harrell * | 31 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 16 | - |
| C. Jones * | 29 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 8 | - |
| R. Smith * | 29 | 8-14 | 6-10 | 2-4 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 22 | - |
| W. Blackshear * | 18 | 3-7 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 9 | - |
| M. Mathiang * | 10 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
| L. Hancock | 22 | 5-10 | 4-9 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 12 | - |
| T. Rozier | 22 | 4-8 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 14 | - |
| S. Van Treese | 19 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 14 | - |
| T. Henderson | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| A. Agau | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| A. Gill | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| D. Levitch | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
UCF Knights
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| I. Sykes * | 37 | 8-18 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 12 | - |
| C. Newell * | 25 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | -1 | - |
| K. Wilson * | 22 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | - |
| T. Spurlock * | 19 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| D. Karell * | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| S. Blair | 22 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| M. Williams Jr. | 20 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | - |
| E. McCrory | 19 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - |
| B. Goodwin | 17 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 1 | - |
| D. Walker | 9 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - |
| S. Haney | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| I. Lang | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter