🐻⬇️🏀

UC Davis

Also known as: UC Davis Aggies
Program History
Coach: Jim Les

2026 Team Stats (31 games)

76.7
PPG
75.2
Opp
+2.5
Margin
44.6%
FG%
34.6%
3P%
75.2%
FT%
32.6
RPG
15.2
APG
12.9
TO
80.1
Pace
74.6
AdjO
75.5
AdjD
#174
Rank

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 988 (#188) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1029 (#153) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +109 elo More → 1013 (#164) HCA +109 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.2 More → -0.8 (#174) HCA +2.2
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.5 More → +11.4 (#212) HCA +2.5
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.501 (#177) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -8.1 More → 0.290 (#240) NetEff -8.1
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -0.9 More → 0.473 (#174) AdjNet -0.9
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -1.0 More → 0.472 (#174) AdjNet -1.0
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 74.6 | AdjD 75.5 More → 0.478 (#174) AdjO 74.6 | AdjD 75.5
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 73.9 | AdjD 72.2 More → 0.539 (#193) AdjO 73.9 | AdjD 72.2
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.736 (#191) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.699 (#195) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 130 | GP 32 More → 1068 (#172) RD 130 | GP 32

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-03 vs Menlo Oaks W 96 - 69
2025-11-05 vs North Dakota State Bison W 80 - 68
2025-11-09 @ Portland Pilots L 63 - 67
2025-11-14 vs Sacramento State Hornets W 77 - 73
2025-11-18 @ Nevada Wolf Pack W 75 - 71
2025-11-21 @ Colorado Buffaloes L 79 - 95
2025-11-24 vs Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns W 77 - 56
2025-12-04 @ Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors L 69 - 75
2025-12-13 @ Oregon Ducks L 62 - 104
2025-12-17 vs Seattle U Redhawks L 78 - 79
2025-12-21 @ Idaho State Bengals W 93 - 83
2025-12-28 vs Pacific Union PACIFIC UNION W 108 - 52
2026-01-01 vs Cal State Northridge Matadors W 89 - 80
2026-01-03 vs Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners L 79 - 81
2026-01-08 @ UC Santa Barbara Gauchos W 93 - 86
2026-01-10 @ Cal Poly Mustangs L 78 - 84
2026-01-15 vs Cal State Fullerton Titans W 74 - 69
2026-01-22 vs UC San Diego Tritons L 74 - 80
2026-01-24 vs UC Riverside Highlanders W 74 - 66
2026-01-29 @ Cal State Northridge Matadors L 78 - 94
2026-01-31 @ Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners W 80 - 72
2026-02-05 vs UC Santa Barbara Gauchos W 85 - 75
2026-02-07 vs Cal Poly Mustangs W 67 - 58
2026-02-12 @ UC San Diego Tritons L 51 - 68
2026-02-14 vs Long Beach State Beach W 71 - 54
2026-02-19 @ Cal State Fullerton Titans L 92 - 93
2026-02-21 @ UC Riverside Highlanders W 78 - 73
2026-02-26 vs Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors L 73 - 77
2026-03-05 @ Long Beach State Beach W 76 - 70
2026-03-07 @ UC Irvine Anteaters L 69 - 79
2026-03-11 vs UC Santa Barbara Gauchos W 79 - 73
2026-03-12 @ Cal State Fullerton Titans L 70 - 82

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Connor Sevilla Connor Sevilla - 30 31.0 13.5 1.7 0.8 0.8 0.1 1.4 9.2 6.4 21 1.0 1.5 41.8 39.8 90.2 0.13 61.8 53.8
Marcus Wilson Marcus Wilson - 32 26.4 12.6 3.3 3.9 1.1 0.1 2.2 9.8 9.0 48 2.2 4.1 43.8 33.0 77.9 -0.04 54.8 49.0
N. Cooper N. Cooper - 26 24.8 12.4 4.6 1.8 1.5 0.4 1.6 8.0 11.0 52 2.5 4.4 54.5 22.0 75.2 0.3 62.2 56.7
C. Daughtery Jr. C. Daughtery Jr. - 23 26.6 9.8 3.3 0.9 1.0 0.0 0.7 7.9 6.4 226 10.8 20.4 41.4 40.7 72.7 1.63 56.4 53.6
N. Rocak N. Rocak - 31 23.9 9.2 5.1 1.6 0.7 1.5 1.8 5.6 10.8 79 3.4 9.4 52.6 36.1 67.9 0.86 63.9 60.1
Isaiah Chappell Isaiah Chappell - 32 24.0 8.5 4.6 1.0 0.8 0.2 1.0 7.4 6.8 22 1.0 1.9 40.3 36.2 61.0 0.08 53.7 52.5
B. Fagbemi B. Fagbemi - 30 25.7 7.2 3.5 4.4 2.0 0.0 2.0 6.0 9.0 14 0.7 1.4 43.6 27.8 67.2 -0.04 51.6 47.8
Omer Suljanovic Omer Suljanovic - 31 14.7 5.4 3.0 0.5 0.2 0.1 1.2 4.5 3.5 11 0.5 1.9 41.4 21.8 67.2 -0.43 50.4 45.7
Jalen Stokes Jalen Stokes - 26 14.4 4.9 2.6 0.8 0.6 0.1 0.9 3.3 4.8 15 0.7 2.7 44.8 33.3 87.8 -0.5 59.0 48.9
Chase Rawlins Chase Rawlins - 19 5.6 1.6 0.4 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.5 1.1 1.4 8 0.6 7.0 47.6 42.9 77.8 -0.66 60.1 54.8
Carl Daughtery Jr. Carl Daughtery Jr. - 19 7.1 1.3 0.5 0.7 0.1 0.3 0.5 1.2 1.2 2 2.0 12.4 54.5 0.0 33.3 -0.28 53.6 54.5
Abdullah Amzil Abdullah Amzil - 16 2.9 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.8 -1 -0.1 -1.8 28.6 20.0 100.0 -0.17 44.4 35.7
Jonathan Noudjihidi Jonathan Noudjihidi - 3 6.0 0.3 1.7 0.3 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.3 1.0 4 1.3 12.4 0.0 0 33.3 -0.11 21.6 0.0
Ylan Esso-Essis Ylan Esso-Essis G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG