Model Predictions
| Model | UC Davis Aggies | UC San Diego Tritons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 22.7% | 77.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 36.8% | 63.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 26.4% | 73.6% | +5.6 | ✓ (11.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.4% | 59.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 5.2% | 94.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 31.6% | 68.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 31.5% | 68.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 35.8% | 64.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UC San Diego Tritons +17 (68-51). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UC Davis Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Fagbemi | 30 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| C. Sevilla | 26 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | - |
| M. Wilson | 25 | 6-15 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 2 | - |
| J. Stokes | 23 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| O. Suljanovic | 19 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | - |
| C. Daughtery Jr. | 17 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | - |
| N. Cooper | 17 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| N. Rocak | 12 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | - |
| I. Chappell | 10 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
| C. Franklin Jr. | 9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| C. Rawlins | 9 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | - |
| A. Amzil | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
UC San Diego Tritons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H. Mayes | 34 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 24 | - |
| T. Beattie | 32 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 9 | - |
| B. Dengdit | 29 | 8-12 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 20 | 13 | - |
| A. Burke | 28 | 4-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 10 | - |
| L. Beath | 25 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 2 | -3 | - |
| J. Vance | 21 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 5 | - |
| T. Johnson | 15 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| A. Chaikin | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| R. Elisaldez | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| C. Pendleton | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter