Model Predictions
| Model | UC Davis Aggies | Cal State Fullerton Titans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 27.9% | 72.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 47.0% | 53.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 42.7% | 57.3% | +1.6 | ✓ (0.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.6% | 49.4% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 52.0% | 48.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 52.0% | 48.0% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 45.0% | 55.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Cal State Fullerton Titans +1 (93-92). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UC Davis Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Sevilla | 34 | 3-6 | 3-5 | 4-4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 8 | - |
| N. Cooper | 32 | 9-13 | 0-2 | 8-8 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 26 | 28 | - |
| M. Wilson | 32 | 2-9 | 0-3 | 5-6 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 8 | - |
| B. Fagbemi | 25 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 0-1 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 14 | - |
| I. Chappell | 22 | 3-11 | 3-11 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 4 | - |
| O. Suljanovic | 21 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 4-6 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 9 | - |
| N. Rocak | 19 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 0-3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 9 | - |
| J. Stokes | 13 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | - |
| C. Franklin Jr. | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Cal State Fullerton Titans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Nunn | 32 | 3-5 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 16 | - |
| J. Ward | 31 | 7-13 | 0-4 | 4-4 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 11 | - |
| L. Seaman | 27 | 9-11 | 2-4 | 6-8 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 26 | 24 | - |
| J. Henderson | 27 | 5-9 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 9 | - |
| J. De La Cruz Monegro | 21 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | - |
| K. Garris | 19 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 12 | - |
| B. Cofield | 14 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | - |
| K. De Luna | 13 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 12 | - |
| C. Williams | 10 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -5 | - |
| D. White | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter