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2026-02-19

Model Predictions

Model UC Davis Aggies Cal State Fullerton Titans Spread Result
Elo 27.9% 72.1% -
Bradley-Terry 47.0% 53.0% -
Margin 42.7% 57.3% +1.6 (0.6 off)
Pythagorean 50.6% 49.4% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 52.0% 48.0% -
Log Adjusted 52.0% 48.0% -
Points Off/Def 45.0% 55.0% -

Actual: Cal State Fullerton Titans +1 (93-92). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UC Davis Aggies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Sevilla 34 3-6 3-5 4-4 0 0 1 0 0 13 8 -
N. Cooper 32 9-13 0-2 8-8 6 6 2 1 0 26 28 -
M. Wilson 32 2-9 0-3 5-6 1 6 2 0 1 9 8 -
B. Fagbemi 25 4-6 2-2 0-1 3 6 1 0 0 10 14 -
I. Chappell 22 3-11 3-11 0-0 2 2 2 0 0 9 4 -
O. Suljanovic 21 2-5 2-4 4-6 6 1 0 0 3 10 9 -
N. Rocak 19 3-3 1-1 0-3 3 2 0 1 1 7 9 -
J. Stokes 13 2-3 1-1 3-4 1 0 0 0 1 8 5 -
C. Franklin Jr. 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Cal State Fullerton Titans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Nunn 32 3-5 3-4 2-2 4 5 0 1 0 11 16 -
J. Ward 31 7-13 0-4 4-4 3 4 0 0 1 18 11 -
L. Seaman 27 9-11 2-4 6-8 7 3 0 1 2 26 24 -
J. Henderson 27 5-9 2-5 0-0 5 2 0 1 2 12 9 -
J. De La Cruz Monegro 21 2-4 1-3 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 5 2 -
K. Garris 19 3-4 2-2 2-2 4 1 1 0 0 10 12 -
B. Cofield 14 1-2 0-1 0-0 2 4 0 1 2 2 5 -
K. De Luna 13 3-3 0-0 3-3 3 2 0 1 0 9 12 -
C. Williams 10 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 3 0 -5 -
D. White 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter