Model Predictions
| Model | UC Davis Aggies | Long Beach State Beach | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 54.7% | 45.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 74.8% | 25.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 60.0% | 40.0% | -2.2 | ✓ (3.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 60.0% | 40.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 70.0% | 30.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 70.0% | 30.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 70.0% | 30.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 53.1% | 46.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Long Beach State Beach -6 (70-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UC Davis Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Daughtery Jr. | 39 | 2-10 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | - |
| B. Fagbemi | 39 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 11 | - |
| M. Wilson | 38 | 8-18 | 1-3 | 13-18 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 30 | 13 | - |
| N. Rocak | 34 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 7-10 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 21 | - |
| I. Chappell | 28 | 2-8 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| O. Suljanovic | 21 | 4-7 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 10 | - |
| C. Franklin Jr. | 19 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| C. Rawlins | 6 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| A. Amzil | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
Long Beach State Beach
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Diaz III | 43 | 12-24 | 3-5 | 6-9 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 33 | 25 | - |
| P. Majstorovic | 39 | 4-9 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 9 | - |
| C. Farrell | 31 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 6 | - |
| S. Bender | 29 | 3-15 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | -7 | - |
| L. Levillain | 28 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 5 | - |
| D. Johnson Jr. | 17 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| I. Lewis | 16 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| C. Jones | 16 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| JJ Chaikovsky | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| D. Washington | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter