Model Predictions
| Model | UC Davis Aggies | Long Beach State Beach | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 67.8% | 32.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 69.1% | 30.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 59.5% | 40.5% | -2.1 | ✓ (3.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 60.0% | 40.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 74.1% | 25.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 70.0% | 30.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 70.0% | 30.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 53.1% | 46.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Long Beach State Beach -6 (70-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UC Davis Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carl Daughtery Jr. | 39 | 2-10 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | +6.0 |
| Brayden Fagbemi | 39 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 11 | +3.0 |
| Marcus Wilson | 38 | 8-18 | 1-3 | 13-18 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 30 | 13 | +2.8 |
| Niko Rocak | 34 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 7-10 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 21 | -0.4 |
| Isaiah Chappell | 28 | 2-8 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | +4.1 |
| Omer Suljanovic | 21 | 4-7 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 10 | -1.3 |
| Cyril Franklin Jr. | 19 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -0.5 |
| Chase Rawlins | 6 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +0.8 |
| Abdullah Amzil | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +2.1 |
Long Beach State Beach
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rob Diaz | 43 | 12-24 | 3-5 | 6-9 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 33 | 25 | -4.6 |
| Petar Majstorovic | 39 | 4-9 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 9 | -2.1 |
| Cole Farrell | 31 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 6 | +2.3 |
| Shaquil Bender | 29 | 3-15 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | -7 | -14.2 |
| Leopold Levillain | 28 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 5 | -2.9 |
| Demarshay Johnson Jr. | 17 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -3.4 |
| Isaiah Lewis | 16 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | +0.2 |
| Christian Jones | 16 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -2.5 |
| JJ Chaikovsky | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +2.4 |
| Dallas Washington | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | +1.9 |
* = starter