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2025-12-17

Model Predictions

Model Seattle U Redhawks UC Davis Aggies Spread Result
Elo 60.9% 39.1% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 48.7% 51.3% - โœ—
Margin 63.4% 36.6% -3.0 โœ“ (2.0 off)
Pythagorean 50.5% 49.5% - โœ“
Efficiency 56.9% 43.1% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 71.9% 28.1% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 72.2% 27.8% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 54.2% 45.8% - โœ“

Actual: UC Davis Aggies -1 (78-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Seattle U Redhawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Maleek Arington 32 0-3 0-1 0-0 2 6 1 0 0 0 6 +4.7
J. Yeo 31 6-11 3-6 0-0 9 1 0 1 1 15 14 -3.9
Will Heimbrodt 30 7-18 1-5 5-6 4 2 0 4 4 20 8 -0.7
Brayden Maldonado 29 4-12 2-7 2-2 9 3 3 0 2 12 13 +0.4
Austin Maurer 22 5-10 1-2 3-5 9 1 3 0 0 14 17 +6.3
John Christofilis 17 2-5 2-4 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 6 0 +4.8
Houran Dan 14 3-3 0-0 2-3 3 1 1 1 4 8 7 -1.6
Miles Amos 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 0 3 0 1 -5.9
Jojo Murphy 10 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 -1 -5.3
Brock Felder 2 2-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 4 2 -8.3

UC Davis Aggies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Connor Sevilla 35 4-7 4-6 3-3 3 1 1 0 2 15 11 -2.3
Nils Cooper 28 4-11 0-1 2-4 5 3 2 3 0 10 12 +1.0
Isaiah Chappell 25 7-10 4-7 2-3 2 2 0 0 1 20 13 +3.8
Brayden Fagbemi 24 6-9 1-3 2-2 3 4 3 0 4 15 12 +3.1
Niko Rocak 24 2-6 0-2 2-4 3 0 0 0 1 6 2 +9.1
Marcus Wilson 24 1-4 0-2 0-0 5 7 0 0 1 2 9 -1.3
Carl Daughtery Jr. 22 3-8 2-5 1-1 3 2 0 0 0 9 6 +10.5
Jalen Stokes 15 0-2 0-1 1-2 2 0 1 0 4 1 -2 -11.9
Omer Suljanovic 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1.5
Abdullah Amzil 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 +1.2

* = starter