Model Predictions
| Model | Long Beach State Beach | UC Davis Aggies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 19.2% | 80.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 20.1% | 79.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 22.8% | 77.2% | +6.7 | ✓ (10.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 34.0% | 66.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 19.9% | 80.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 24.0% | 76.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 24.0% | 76.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 33.9% | 66.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UC Davis Aggies +17 (71-54). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Long Beach State Beach
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gavin Sykes | 36 | 5-13 | 3-6 | 5-5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 8 | -11.8 |
| Petar Majstorovic | 28 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 5 | -15.3 |
| Isaiah Lewis | 27 | 5-11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 5 | +3.8 |
| Leopold Levillain | 25 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | -22.8 |
| Cole Farrell | 22 | 1-7 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -11.1 |
| Shaquil Bender | 21 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -4 | -13.5 |
| Demarshay Johnson Jr. | 14 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +4.3 |
| Rob Diaz | 14 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -18.5 |
| Dallas Washington | 13 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -3.3 |
UC Davis Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Sevilla | 35 | 3-9 | 0-5 | 4-4 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 6 | +11.7 |
| Niko Rocak | 27 | 3-8 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 14 | +15.3 |
| Marcus Wilson | 27 | 7-15 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 18 | 14 | +16.6 |
| Brayden Fagbemi | 26 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 9 | +10.8 |
| Isaiah Chappell | 23 | 3-8 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 2 | +12.4 |
| Nils Cooper | 22 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | +13.1 |
| Omer Suljanovic | 16 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 8 | +2.8 |
| Jalen Stokes | 12 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | +5.7 |
| Cyril Franklin Jr. | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | -7.1 |
| Abdullah Amzil | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.0 |
| Chase Rawlins | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +0.0 |
* = starter