🐻⬇️🏀

Southern Miss Golden Eagles

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: Southern Miss Golden Eagles
Program History

2026 Team Stats (27 games)

71.9
PPG
77.3
Opp
-5.4
Margin
39.6%
FG%
29.4%
3P%
76.6%
FT%
37.0
RPG
10.3
APG
13.7
TO
86.1
Pace
71.4
AdjO
73.1
AdjD
#183
Rank

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 882 (#256) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 962 (#204) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +113 elo More → 979 (#443) HCA +113 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.3 More → -1.6 (#183) HCA +2.3
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.8 More → +10.6 (#191) HCA +2.8
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.399 (#209) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -2.1 More → 0.438 (#192) NetEff -2.1
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -1.4 More → 0.460 (#178) AdjNet -1.4
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -1.4 More → 0.459 (#179) AdjNet -1.4
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 71.4 | AdjD 73.1 More → 0.462 (#183) AdjO 71.4 | AdjD 73.1
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 68.3 | AdjD 69.2 More → 0.480 (#255) AdjO 68.3 | AdjD 69.2
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.662 (#216) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.626 (#220) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 152 | GP 27 More → 976 (#225) RD 152 | GP 27

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-07 vs William Carey Crusaders W 92 - 80
2025-11-13 @ Jacksonville State Gamecocks W 67 - 61
2025-11-27 @ UAB Blazers L 72 - 77
2025-11-28 vs NC State Wolfpack L 56 - 110
2025-12-01 @ SMU Mustangs L 70 - 83
2025-12-07 vs UAB Blazers W 81 - 73
2025-12-14 @ Mississippi State Bulldogs L 64 - 87
2025-12-18 vs South Alabama Jaguars W 84 - 65
2025-12-20 vs Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns W 76 - 58
2026-01-01 vs Arkansas State Red Wolves L 83 - 91
2026-01-03 vs Troy Trojans W 98 - 95
2026-01-10 @ App State Mountaineers L 59 - 82
2026-01-14 @ Texas State Bobcats W 76 - 62
2026-01-17 @ Arkansas State Red Wolves L 71 - 81
2026-01-22 vs Marshall Thundering Herd L 52 - 61
2026-01-24 vs Coastal Carolina Chanticleers L 55 - 81
2026-01-28 @ Georgia Southern Eagles L 67 - 70
2026-01-31 @ Old Dominion Monarchs W 86 - 83
2026-02-04 vs James Madison Dukes L 72 - 83
2026-02-07 @ Toledo Rockets L 67 - 76
2026-02-12 vs UL Monroe Warhawks L 62 - 85
2026-02-14 vs Texas State Bobcats W 86 - 77
2026-02-18 @ Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns W 83 - 61
2026-02-21 @ Troy Trojans L 80 - 97
2026-02-25 @ South Alabama Jaguars L 43 - 57
2026-02-27 @ UL Monroe Warhawks W 68 - 61
2026-03-05 vs UL Monroe Warhawks L 72 - 89

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
J. Johnson J. Johnson G 27 28.6 16.5 3.7 1.5 1.4 0.1 2.6 11.2 9.5 23 3.8 50.7 45.7 40.0 82.4 1.03 59.5 51.3
M. Thames M. Thames G 27 32.8 13.3 3.1 2.3 1.2 0.3 1.9 13.4 4.9 -7 -0.3 -0.4 32.8 22.8 70.6 -0.71 43.1 37.7
H. Breland H. Breland G 26 30.3 12.2 4.2 2.1 0.9 0.0 2.4 12.3 4.7 48 2.2 2.9 36.2 28.6 86.2 1.0 45.7 41.6
S. White S. White F 12 24.2 10.8 8.2 0.7 1.1 0.8 1.3 7.6 12.7 68 4.2 6.4 59.3 0 84.6 3.02 63.5 59.3
C. Keats C. Keats PG 27 29.4 9.2 2.9 2.2 0.6 0.0 2.0 8.8 4.2 50 2.2 2.7 36.3 34.1 86.4 2.14 50.5 48.5
W. Hart W. Hart C 23 20.2 6.7 5.8 0.4 1.0 0.3 0.9 5.5 7.9 -63 -3.3 -8.9 48.8 0 71.4 -2.07 52.9 48.8
B. Gray B. Gray G 27 21.9 3.9 5.2 0.9 0.9 0.4 1.0 3.7 6.6 111 4.8 6.3 41.4 22.2 71.0 0.96 47.1 42.4
M. Sieper M. Sieper G 25 12.9 2.7 1.5 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.7 3.5 1.1 11 0.5 1.4 26.4 23.3 100.0 -0.5 37.7 36.2
T. Thurman T. Thurman C 21 9.1 2.3 2.7 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.1 1.7 3.9 -7 -0.4 -2.5 60.0 0 53.8 -1.84 60.2 60.0
R. Augurson R. Augurson G 25 6.2 1.6 1.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.7 1.6 1.0 12 0.6 2.9 30.8 28.6 65.0 -0.09 40.8 33.3
J. Evans J. Evans F 22 5.1 1.1 0.9 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.6 1.1 0.6 59 2.8 17.4 45.8 0 25.0 1.76 43.6 45.8
A. Carriere A. Carriere G 9 4.1 0.4 0.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.2 24 2.2 23.8 40.0 0.0 0 0.37 40.0 40.0
M. Prince M. Prince G 9 2.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 12 1.7 24.2 0.0 0.0 0 0.63 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG