Samford Bulldogs
2026 Team Stats (35 games)
Model Outputs
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ | 1057 (#154) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ | 935 (#223) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | 1038 (#136) | HCA +106 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More โ | -10.9 (#281) | HCA +2.4 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | -7.9 (#254) | HCA +2.6 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ | 0.185 (#283) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More โ | 0.185 (#283) | NetEff -11.9 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More โ | 0.121 (#286) | AdjNet -17.2 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More โ | 0.115 (#286) | AdjNet -17.5 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More โ | 0.286 (#281) | AdjO 57.7 | AdjD 67.8 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More โ | 0.437 (#218) | AdjO 60.1 | AdjD 62.9 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More โ | 0.328 (#248) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More โ | 0.358 (#241) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More โ | 974 (#195) | RD 117 | GP 32 |
2026 Schedule & Results
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM GP | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Kaylee Yarbrough
|
G | 30 | 21.8 | 12.2 | 2.0 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 1.8 | 10.4 | 3.4 | -41 | 25 | -1.6 | -4.3 | 41.2 | 37.2 | 78.3 | 1.62 | 53.5 | 50.0 |
Briana Rivera
|
G | 35 | 30.8 | 11.7 | 1.8 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 1.1 | 9.3 | 4.3 | -76 | 29 | -2.6 | -5.7 | 37.0 | 36.4 | 84.4 | -1.81 | 57.4 | 54.1 |
Sierra Godbolt
|
G | 33 | 26.3 | 9.6 | 1.6 | 3.1 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7 | 8.5 | 4.2 | -30 | 27 | -1.1 | -2.6 | 39.1 | 32.8 | 77.2 | -0.2 | 48.9 | 42.7 |
Frances Morris
|
G | 34 | 25.1 | 8.4 | 4.0 | 1.9 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 1.7 | 6.7 | 7.1 | -30 | 29 | -1.0 | -2.7 | 43.0 | 35.6 | 81.0 | 0.67 | 56.2 | 52.2 |
E. Snoddy
|
C | 28 | 17.1 | 5.4 | 5.6 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 1.5 | 1.3 | 4.2 | 8.3 | - | - | - | - | 50.8 | 0 | 62.0 | - | 53.9 | 50.8 |
Jada Knight
|
G | 22 | 18.4 | 5.0 | 1.5 | 2.6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7 | 5.4 | 3.0 | -53 | 16 | -3.3 | -11.9 | 36.1 | 11.1 | 72.4 | -2.96 | 41.4 | 37.0 |
Aubrey Blankenship
|
G | 32 | 21.8 | 4.1 | 2.8 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 1.3 | 5.2 | 1.7 | -90 | 25 | -3.6 | -10.3 | 27.9 | 26.3 | 70.0 | -3.26 | 38.4 | 37.3 |
Avary Brewer
|
G | 31 | 11.0 | 3.1 | 1.3 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 1.1 | 3.3 | 1.0 | -73 | 25 | -2.9 | -15.6 | 28.2 | 29.9 | 90.5 | -5.73 | 43.2 | 37.9 |
Carla Baguda
|
F | 31 | 15.5 | 3.0 | 3.8 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 1.1 | 0.9 | 2.3 | 5.5 | -59 | 25 | -2.4 | -6.2 | 58.6 | 0 | 42.3 | 0.21 | 57.1 | 58.6 |
Martha Bishop
|
F | 28 | 12.4 | 3.0 | 4.6 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 1.1 | 2.8 | 5.3 | 13 | 24 | 0.5 | 1.9 | 43.0 | 16.7 | 70.0 | -0.07 | 48.4 | 44.9 |
Sydney Martin
|
G | 13 | 5.4 | 1.2 | 1.1 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 1.5 | 1.1 | -9 | 10 | -0.9 | -9.2 | 31.6 | 23.1 | 25.0 | -0.84 | 38.5 | 39.5 |
Alyssa Tarpley
|
G | 35 | 19.1 | 1.0 | 2.1 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.7 | 1.4 | 2.6 | -50 | 28 | -1.8 | -5.4 | 25.0 | 20.0 | 75.0 | -1.85 | 34.9 | 31.2 |
Camryn Register
|
G | 9 | 3.3 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 3 | 5 | 0.6 | 10.7 | 42.9 | 0.0 | 33.3 | -0.75 | 41.5 | 42.9 |
Yael Maayan
|
F | 13 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.1 | -20 | 9 | -2.2 | -29.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -3.54 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG
2025-2026 Shot Zones
1881 located field-goal attempts in 35 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).
Briana RiveraKaylee YarbroughSierra GodboltFrances MorrisE. Snoddy
| Zone | FGM-FGA | FG% | Pts | Top scorer | Runner-up | Most misses | Runner-up |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Restricted area | 262-451 | 58.1 | 524 | Sierra Godbolt 23% (118 pts) | Frances Morris 15% (76 pts) | Sierra Godbolt 31% (59 misses) | Frances Morris 12% (23 misses) |
| Paint (non-RA) | 110-286 | 38.5 | 220 | E. Snoddy 22% (48 pts) | Sierra Godbolt 20% (44 pts) | Sierra Godbolt 23% (40 misses) | Kaylee Yarbrough 14% (25 misses) |
| Mid-range left | 28-90 | 31.1 | 56 | Kaylee Yarbrough 36% (20 pts) | Briana Rivera 25% (14 pts) | Kaylee Yarbrough 32% (20 misses) | Sierra Godbolt 18% (11 misses) |
| Mid-range center | 20-61 | 32.8 | 40 | Kaylee Yarbrough 40% (16 pts) | Sierra Godbolt 25% (10 pts) | Kaylee Yarbrough 29% (12 misses) | Sierra Godbolt 20% (8 misses) |
| Mid-range right | 24-96 | 25.0 | 48 | Kaylee Yarbrough 29% (14 pts) | Aubrey Blankenship 12% (6 pts) | Kaylee Yarbrough 18% (13 misses) | Sierra Godbolt 17% (12 misses) |
| Left corner 3 | 38-96 | 39.6 | 114 | Briana Rivera 47% (54 pts) | Kaylee Yarbrough 16% (18 pts) | Briana Rivera 28% (16 misses) | Kaylee Yarbrough 16% (9 misses) |
| Right corner 3 | 22-57 | 38.6 | 66 | Frances Morris 32% (21 pts) | Briana Rivera 18% (12 pts) | Frances Morris 31% (11 misses) | Alyssa Tarpley 17% (6 misses) |
| Above-break 3 left | 96-344 | 27.9 | 288 | Briana Rivera 53% (153 pts) | Kaylee Yarbrough 17% (48 pts) | Briana Rivera 41% (101 misses) | Aubrey Blankenship 14% (34 misses) |
| Above-break 3 center | 39-146 | 26.7 | 117 | Briana Rivera 28% (33 pts) | Kaylee Yarbrough 26% (30 pts) | Briana Rivera 23% (25 misses) | Aubrey Blankenship 22% (24 misses) |
| Above-break 3 right | 92-254 | 36.2 | 276 | Briana Rivera 28% (78 pts) | Kaylee Yarbrough 21% (57 pts) | Briana Rivera 32% (52 misses) | Kaylee Yarbrough 18% (29 misses) |