Model Predictions
| Model | Chattanooga Mocs | Samford Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 19.0% | 81.0% | +7.6 | ✓ (0.6 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 56.4% | 43.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 63.5% | 36.5% | -3.1 | ✗ (10.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 73.8% | 26.2% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 88.4% | 11.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 82.6% | 17.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 82.6% | 17.4% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 55.5% | 44.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Samford Bulldogs +7 (77-70). Ratings: 2025-26 season-end ratings.
Chattanooga Mocs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caia Elisaldez * | 39 | 9-14 | 0-2 | 6-7 | 7 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 24 | -1.9 |
| Ava Card * | 33 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -9.9 |
| Gianna Corbitt * | 32 | 10-16 | 1-3 | 2-4 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 23 | 18 | +3.8 |
| Izzy McPherson * | 17 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -5 | -13.2 |
| Falon Bedke * | 8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | -2.2 |
| Sarah Owona | 29 | 3-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | +3.8 |
| Evie Bruce | 16 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | -1 | +2.4 |
| London Weaver | 15 | 4-6 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 5 | +10.6 |
| F. van der Schans | 11 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -10.8 |
Samford Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alyssa Tarpley * | 37 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 7 | +4.4 |
| Francie Morris * | 33 | 1-7 | 1-5 | 4-4 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 10 | +8.4 |
| Sierra Godbolt * | 33 | 6-10 | 0-1 | 6-7 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 12 | +3.1 |
| Briana Rivera * | 32 | 4-10 | 4-10 | 4-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 6 | -2.4 |
| E. Snoddy * | 20 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 15 | - |
| Kaylee Yarbrough | 18 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4 | -1.2 |
| Carla Baguda | 12 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 6 | -6.5 |
| Avary Brewer | 7 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | -0.8 |
| Martha Bishop | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +4.5 |
| Aubrey Blankenship | 3 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | +4.9 |
* = starter