Model Predictions
| Model | UNC Greensboro Spartans | Samford Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 22.7% | 77.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 31.3% | 68.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 42.0% | 58.0% | +1.8 | ✓ (2.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 62.7% | 37.3% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 86.1% | 13.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 51.4% | 48.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 51.9% | 48.1% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 45.3% | 54.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Samford Bulldogs +4 (68-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UNC Greensboro Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Levine | 36 | 4-11 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 12 | -2.3 |
| J. Lee | 36 | 6-13 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 6 | +1.4 |
| M. Simpson | 35 | 8-10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 12 | +2.7 |
| R. Moffitt | 24 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 1 | -19.5 |
| M. Asidanya | 24 | 3-15 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | -2 | -0.2 |
| L. Minor | 21 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 10 | -1.7 |
| C. Harris | 14 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -13.9 |
| S. Traore | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +1.6 |
| K. Rakotobe | 5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | +7.5 |
Samford Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Rivera | 37 | 2-11 | 2-10 | 8-8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 3 | +0.3 |
| F. Morris | 31 | 7-10 | 4-4 | 6-7 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 24 | 17 | +15.2 |
| S. Godbolt | 31 | 3-11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 6 | -6 | -1.3 |
| M. Bishop | 28 | 5-8 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 15 | +1.3 |
| C. Baguda | 20 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9 | +8.9 |
| A. Tarpley | 18 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | -2.4 |
| A. Blankenship | 13 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | +3.1 |
| A. Brewer | 11 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -3 | +3.5 |
| E. Snoddy | 11 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 12 | - |
* = starter