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2026-01-08

Model Predictions

Model Samford Bulldogs UNC Greensboro Spartans Spread Result
Elo 63.1% 36.9% -
Bradley-Terry 55.3% 44.7% -
Margin 37.1% 62.9% +2.9 (6.1 off)
Pythagorean 31.3% 68.7% -
Efficiency 7.9% 92.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 42.6% 57.4% -
Log Adjusted 42.1% 57.9% -
Points Off/Def 41.2% 58.8% -

Actual: UNC Greensboro Spartans +9 (73-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Samford Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Blankenship 36 2-4 1-2 2-2 2 0 2 0 2 7 5 -15.9
B. Rivera 34 2-5 2-5 3-3 4 1 0 0 1 9 8 -16.7
K. Yarbrough 30 5-15 3-6 2-2 1 3 0 0 2 15 2 +2.4
E. Snoddy 22 3-5 0-0 1-1 5 2 1 2 2 7 10 -
S. Godbolt 21 4-9 1-3 4-4 0 2 1 0 3 13 4 -9.0
J. Knight 18 2-5 0-0 0-0 0 3 0 0 2 4 0 +0.1
C. Baguda 17 1-3 0-0 2-2 6 0 2 0 0 4 9 -8.3
F. Morris 17 1-3 1-2 2-2 5 1 1 0 1 5 8 +3.1
A. Tarpley 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +8.9

UNC Greensboro Spartans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Johnson 37 2-5 2-5 0-0 2 3 0 0 0 6 6 +12.4
J. Levine 32 7-14 4-7 3-4 5 4 1 1 6 21 12 +14.8
R. Moffitt 29 4-8 0-0 0-0 12 1 1 2 1 8 15 +8.7
M. Asidanya 28 3-10 2-7 2-4 4 1 0 0 1 10 4 -14.3
J. Lee 26 4-9 3-5 6-6 0 2 0 0 1 17 9 +4.6
C. Harris 15 3-5 1-1 0-0 3 3 2 1 1 7 10 +17.9
L. Minor 14 0-1 0-1 0-2 3 3 0 1 3 0 3 +0.3
K. Rakotobe 11 2-6 0-1 0-0 4 1 2 0 0 4 5 -0.8
M. Simpson 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -0.9
J. Davis 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -5.8

* = starter