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2026-02-01

Model Predictions

Model Samford Bulldogs Chattanooga Mocs Spread Result
Elo 37.1% 62.9% -
Bradley-Terry 33.4% 66.6% -
Margin 19.5% 80.5% +7.8 (13.2 off)
Pythagorean 20.2% 79.8% -
Efficiency 1.3% 98.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 11.8% 88.2% -
Log Adjusted 11.5% 88.5% -
Points Off/Def 30.1% 69.9% -

Actual: Chattanooga Mocs +21 (61-40). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Samford Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Rivera 29 3-8 3-7 3-3 1 0 0 0 2 12 3 -14.8
A. Blankenship 27 0-5 0-5 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 0 -3 -14.0
S. Godbolt 27 1-8 0-1 0-0 1 3 1 0 2 2 -3 -13.3
F. Morris 26 3-7 0-1 0-0 4 1 0 1 1 6 4 -8.1
K. Yarbrough 25 3-14 0-5 3-3 0 1 0 1 1 9 -4 -7.5
C. Baguda 21 1-3 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 1 0 2 6 -7.8
A. Brewer 12 1-4 1-4 0-0 0 0 2 0 2 3 -1 +0.0
E. Snoddy 11 2-3 0-0 0-0 4 1 2 0 3 4 5 -
A. Tarpley 10 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 +1.7
M. Bishop 10 1-1 0-0 0-0 3 1 1 0 2 2 4 -10.0
S. Martin 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0.1
Y. Maayan 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -0.2

Chattanooga Mocs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Elisaldez 37 7-19 0-4 2-2 3 6 5 0 2 16 9 +20.5
I. McPherson 34 7-8 6-7 0-0 7 0 0 2 5 20 16 +17.3
A. Card 31 0-6 0-3 2-2 7 2 1 1 1 2 6 +17.2
G. Corbitt 30 5-10 2-3 2-3 6 1 2 2 3 14 12 +20.9
S. Owona 17 0-2 0-1 1-2 3 0 1 0 0 1 3 -2.5
E. Bruce 15 1-2 0-0 2-4 4 1 0 1 1 4 7 +13.0
F. Bedke 15 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 2 2 +8.7
F. van der Schans 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -5.7
L. Weaver 9 1-3 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 2 -1 -6.3
K. Wilson 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +0.2

* = starter