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2026-03-08

Model Predictions

Model Samford Bulldogs Chattanooga Mocs Spread Result
Elo 37.1% 62.9% -
Bradley-Terry 33.4% 66.6% -
Margin 19.5% 80.5% +7.8 (12.8 off)
Pythagorean 20.2% 79.8% -
Efficiency 1.3% 98.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 11.8% 88.2% -
Log Adjusted 11.5% 88.5% -
Points Off/Def 30.1% 69.9% -

Actual: Chattanooga Mocs -5 (67-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Samford Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Godbolt 40 4-9 1-1 3-3 5 3 0 0 0 12 11 -
B. Rivera 35 1-3 1-3 2-2 2 1 0 0 2 5 3 -
F. Morris 34 8-15 3-6 3-4 6 3 0 0 0 22 16 -
A. Tarpley 29 1-1 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 1 2 4 -
K. Yarbrough 23 8-13 5-7 4-4 1 2 1 0 4 25 12 -
E. Snoddy 18 2-4 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 1 1 4 5 -
M. Bishop 12 1-2 0-0 0-0 3 1 1 0 0 2 5 -
C. Baguda 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 1 0 0 6 -

Chattanooga Mocs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Elisaldez 38 8-16 0-3 4-4 3 4 2 0 2 20 11 -
G. Corbitt 35 3-8 1-2 2-2 12 2 1 1 1 9 16 -
I. McPherson 31 6-15 5-13 0-0 2 3 0 0 0 17 7 -
A. Card 29 2-3 2-2 0-0 7 0 1 1 1 6 11 -
F. van der Schans 22 4-8 1-2 0-0 1 3 1 0 2 9 4 -
K. Ford 19 0-6 0-3 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -
S. Owona 15 1-2 1-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 1 -
F. Bedke 4 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -
E. Bruce 4 0-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 0 1 -
L. Weaver 3 0-1 0-1 1-2 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -

* = starter