Model Predictions
| Model | Furman Paladins | Samford Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 40.5% | 59.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 50.5% | 49.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 53.2% | 46.8% | -0.7 | ✓ (7.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 64.1% | 35.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 78.4% | 21.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 70.9% | 29.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 71.2% | 28.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 51.6% | 48.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Samford Bulldogs -8 (62-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Furman Paladins
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Coyle | 38 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 15 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 25 | +19.8 |
| R. McGowens | 37 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 6-10 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 9 | +3.0 |
| L. Bailey | 32 | 5-10 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 7 | -6.9 |
| C. Stuart | 30 | 5-12 | 0-2 | 3-8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 6 | +5.7 |
| A. Ervin | 28 | 5-12 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 5 | +16.1 |
| B. King | 23 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 10 | +9.0 |
| S. Pearl | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | -3.8 |
| T. Berry | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3.0 |
| S. Taylor | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.7 |
Samford Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Rivera | 33 | 4-11 | 4-11 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 9 | -5.3 |
| A. Blankenship | 31 | 2-8 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | +1.0 |
| S. Godbolt | 30 | 5-12 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 3 | -8.0 |
| F. Morris | 25 | 2-7 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | -12.4 |
| K. Yarbrough | 22 | 5-10 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 5 | +2.3 |
| E. Snoddy | 17 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 4 | - |
| C. Baguda | 14 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 7 | +2.2 |
| M. Bishop | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -0.6 |
| A. Brewer | 6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +2.0 |
| A. Tarpley | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -0.5 |
| J. Knight | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -2.8 |
* = starter