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2025-11-26

Model Predictions

Model Stony Brook Seawolves Samford Bulldogs Spread Result
Elo 45.7% 54.3% -
Bradley-Terry 47.3% 52.7% -
Margin 57.1% 42.9% -1.6 (11.6 off)
Pythagorean 61.3% 38.7% -
Efficiency 85.1% 14.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 65.5% 34.5% -
Log Adjusted 65.4% 34.6% -
Points Off/Def 52.3% 47.7% -

Actual: Samford Bulldogs +10 (58-48). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Stony Brook Seawolves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Brantley 34 2-5 0-1 2-2 8 2 1 1 2 6 11 -5.8
C. Frost 32 4-13 1-3 0-0 4 2 0 0 5 9 -3 +0.4
S. Frau Garcia 32 2-5 0-0 0-0 2 4 4 0 3 4 6 +1.7
J. Potter 27 2-6 0-0 3-4 4 0 0 0 1 7 4 +1.0
C. Oliver 24 1-2 0-0 4-4 1 2 0 1 2 6 6 -2.1
N. Bennett 20 2-5 2-5 2-2 1 0 0 0 0 8 4 +0.1
D. Berete 20 2-8 2-7 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 6 -1 +0.2
M. Mwanza 10 1-5 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 2 -3 +1.7
E. Egbirika 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 +3.0

Samford Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Rivera 40 2-9 2-8 1-2 0 3 1 0 2 7 0 +1.5
A. Blankenship 37 3-9 3-8 0-0 2 1 1 1 1 9 4 -2.2
J. Knight 36 5-8 0-1 0-0 4 5 0 0 2 10 9 +4.6
F. Morris 28 3-5 1-2 0-0 6 2 1 0 2 7 9 -4.4
E. Snoddy 27 7-12 0-0 4-6 8 2 2 4 0 18 22 -
A. Brewer 13 1-3 1-3 0-0 0 0 2 0 0 3 2 -1.1
M. Bishop 11 1-2 0-0 2-2 3 1 0 0 1 4 5 -4.5
A. Tarpley 8 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 1 2 0 1 +8.7

* = starter