Model Predictions
| Model | Stony Brook Seawolves | Samford Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 31.3% | 68.7% | +1.6 | ✓ (8.4 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 51.1% | 48.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 53.1% | 46.9% | -1.4 | ✗ (11.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 68.8% | 31.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 64.8% | 35.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 65.0% | 35.0% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 52.7% | 47.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Samford Bulldogs +10 (58-48). Ratings: 2025-26 season-end ratings.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Stony Brook Seawolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Janay Brantley * | 34 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 11 | - |
| Caitlin Frost * | 32 | 4-13 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 9 | -3 | - |
| Sandra Frau Garcia * | 32 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Chloe Oliver * | 24 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Melissa Mwanza * | 10 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -3 | - |
| Johanna Potter | 27 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Nal'La Bennett | 20 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Diaka Berete | 20 | 2-8 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | -1 | - |
| Ebere Egbirika | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Samford Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Briana Rivera * | 40 | 2-9 | 2-8 | 1-2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 0 | - |
| Aubrey Blankenship * | 37 | 3-9 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 4 | - |
| Jada Knight * | 36 | 5-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Francie Morris * | 28 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 9 | -2.6 |
| Emily Snoddy * | 27 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 18 | 22 | - |
| Avary Brewer | 13 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Martha Bishop | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Alyssa Tarpley | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter