🐻⬇️🏀

Portland

Season: 2027 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018
Also known as: Portland Pilots, Portland
Program History
Coach: Shantay Legans

2025 Team Stats (32 games)

72.9
PPG
80.4
Opp
-7.5
Margin
43.7%
FG%
34.5%
3P%
77.7%
FT%
33.8
RPG
15.5
APG
12.8
TO
70.0
Est. poss./game
71.0
Adj PPG
78.7
Adj Opp PPG
#289
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2024-2025
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 918 (#212) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 846 (#301) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +87 elo More → 937 (#275) HCA +87 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.7 More → -7.6 (#277) HCA +2.7
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.8 More → -4.8 (#242) HCA +2.8
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.194 (#329) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -9.2 More → 0.258 (#262) AdjNet -9.2
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -9.2 More → 0.255 (#262) AdjNet -9.2
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 71.0 | AdjD 78.7 More → 0.332 (#289) AdjO 71.0 | AdjD 78.7
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 71.7 | AdjD 77.5 More → 0.372 (#308) AdjO 71.7 | AdjD 77.5
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.340 (#268) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.348 (#269) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 157 | GP 30 More → 919 (#244) RD 157 | GP 30

2025 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2024-11-06 vs Lewis & Clark River Otters W 83 - 70
2024-11-09 vs UC Santa Barbara Gauchos L 53 - 94
2024-11-12 @ Oregon Ducks L 70 - 80
2024-11-16 @ Long Beach State Beach W 63 - 61
2024-11-21 vs South Florida Bulls L 68 - 74
2024-11-22 vs Ohio Bobcats L 73 - 85
2024-11-24 @ Princeton Tigers L 67 - 94
2024-12-01 vs Denver Pioneers W 101 - 90
2024-12-06 @ Kent State Golden Flashes L 57 - 76
2024-12-10 vs Kansas City Roos L 64 - 69
2024-12-16 vs Willamette Bearcats W 100 - 69
2024-12-18 vs Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners L 64 - 81
2024-12-21 vs Lafayette Leopards W 74 - 64
2024-12-28 vs Washington State Cougars L 73 - 89
2024-12-30 @ Oregon State Beavers L 79 - 89
2025-01-02 @ Gonzaga Bulldogs L 50 - 81
2025-01-04 vs Saint Mary's Gaels L 58 - 81
2025-01-09 @ San Francisco Dons L 72 - 81
2025-01-16 vs Pacific Tigers W 84 - 81
2025-01-18 @ Washington State Cougars L 70 - 92
2025-01-23 vs San Diego Toreros W 92 - 82
2025-01-25 vs Gonzaga Bulldogs L 62 - 105
2025-01-30 @ Loyola Marymount Lions L 63 - 88
2025-02-01 @ Pepperdine Waves W 84 - 64
2025-02-06 vs Santa Clara Broncos L 50 - 97
2025-02-13 vs Oregon State Beavers W 84 - 72
2025-02-15 vs Loyola Marymount Lions W 89 - 78
2025-02-19 @ Saint Mary's Gaels L 66 - 79
2025-02-22 @ Pacific Tigers W 81 - 73
2025-02-27 vs Pepperdine Waves W 87 - 67
2025-03-01 @ San Diego Toreros L 80 - 82
2025-03-07 vs Pepperdine Waves L 73 - 86

2025 Roster

Minutes by Position

Each player's share of the team's minutes per game (season minutes over the roster's), placed by position, so every column is one game's minutes. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Max Mackinnon Max Mackinnon G 32 28.1 14.5 4.8 3.2 0.7 0.2 2.2 10.6 10.6 -199 30 -6.6 -9.1 46.7 40.7 88.7 0.53 59.0 52.2
Austin Rapp Austin Rapp F 31 33.0 13.8 6.5 2.5 0.6 1.5 2.6 11.0 11.2 -226 31 -7.3 -9.7 39.7 35.2 81.5 -0.13 56.2 51.9
Vukasin Masic Vukasin Masic G 27 27.9 10.5 3.2 3.3 0.6 0.0 1.4 8.4 7.7 -75 21 -3.6 -6.1 41.7 36.2 78.7 0.54 55.7 51.8
Chris Austin Chris Austin G 31 28.9 10.0 3.4 1.6 0.5 0.1 1.2 7.6 6.8 - - - - 46.8 35.4 75.9 - 56.5 51.7
Bol Dengdit Bol Dengdit F 30 24.0 7.4 3.9 1.1 0.3 0.2 1.1 5.3 6.6 -89 24 -3.7 -4.9 49.1 37.9 78.8 0.2 61.0 56.9
Vincent Delano Vincent Delano G 32 23.1 5.2 2.3 2.0 0.9 0.2 1.6 5.6 3.5 -151 23 -6.6 -10.3 35.4 25.4 67.6 -0.71 43.2 40.2
Mikah Ballew Mikah Ballew G 31 16.0 4.9 1.4 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.9 4.4 2.2 -60 14 -4.3 -14.2 39.0 29.0 80.0 -0.24 50.2 45.6
Mezziah Oakman Mezziah Oakman C 13 9.5 4.4 1.5 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.5 2.5 4.1 - - - - 66.7 0 61.9 - 67.5 66.7
Jermaine Ballisager Webb Jermaine Ballisager Webb C 29 10.4 4.3 1.8 0.8 0.1 0.1 0.5 2.6 4.1 - - - - 64.0 69.2 60.6 - 69.8 70.0
Jinup Dobuol Jinup Dobuol F 3 7.3 3.7 2.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 4.3 1.3 8 1 8.0 36.5 30.8 28.6 33.3 -1.0 38.4 38.5
Todd Jones Todd Jones F 24 10.8 2.8 2.5 0.6 0.3 0.7 1.0 2.0 3.9 -139 16 -8.7 -51.8 49.0 25.0 62.1 -0.35 54.2 50.0
Kelson Gebbers Kelson Gebbers G 19 9.6 1.7 1.1 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.3 1.7 1.7 4 11 0.4 2.3 30.3 30.8 83.3 -0.31 46.3 42.4
Coleman Lemke Coleman Lemke F 16 4.8 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 1.3 0.2 - - - - 19.0 15.0 100.0 - 29.7 26.2
Jude Harris Jude Harris G 6 1.7 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.8 -0.3 - - - - 20.0 0.0 0 - 20.0 20.0
Carlin Briggs Carlin Briggs G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Preston Lee Preston Lee G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
NaVaughn Long NaVaughn Long G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Yuto Yamanouchi-Williams Yuto Yamanouchi-Williams F 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG

2024-2025 Shot Zones

388 located field-goal attempts in 7 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).

Austin29% Mackinnon38% Austin29% Mackinnon33% Austin75% Rapp67% Rapp75% Masic54% Dengdit30% Rapp25%
Points: who the team's points here most likely come from
Mackinnon41% Mackinnon48% Austin55% Rapp40% Austin40% Masic30% Delano67% Rapp48% Rapp52% Rapp39%
Misses: who misses most here

Austin RappVukasin MasicChris AustinMax MackinnonBol DengditVincent Delano

Zone FGM-FGA FG% Pts Top scorer Runner-up Most misses Runner-up
Restricted area 73-117 62.4 146 Chris Austin 29% (42 pts) Austin Rapp 21% (30 pts) Max Mackinnon 41% (18 misses) Bol Dengdit 14% (6 misses)
Paint (non-RA) 37-70 52.9 74 Max Mackinnon 38% (28 pts) Chris Austin 27% (20 pts) Max Mackinnon 48% (16 misses) Chris Austin 15% (5 misses)
Mid-range left 7-18 38.9 14 Chris Austin 29% (4 pts) Vukasin Masic 29% (4 pts) Chris Austin 55% (6 misses) Vukasin Masic 18% (2 misses)
Mid-range center 3-8 37.5 6 Max Mackinnon 33% (2 pts) Mikah Ballew 33% (2 pts) Austin Rapp 40% (2 misses) Chris Austin 20% (1 misses)
Mid-range right 8-18 44.4 16 Chris Austin 75% (12 pts) Max Mackinnon 12% (2 pts) Chris Austin 40% (4 misses) Vukasin Masic 30% (3 misses)
Left corner 3 3-13 23.1 9 Austin Rapp 67% (6 pts) Mikah Ballew 33% (3 pts) Vukasin Masic 30% (3 misses) Bol Dengdit 20% (2 misses)
Right corner 3 4-7 57.1 12 Austin Rapp 75% (9 pts) Chris Austin 25% (3 pts) Vincent Delano 67% (2 misses) Austin Rapp 33% (1 misses)
Above-break 3 left 24-55 43.6 72 Vukasin Masic 54% (39 pts) Austin Rapp 29% (21 pts) Austin Rapp 48% (15 misses) Vukasin Masic 23% (7 misses)
Above-break 3 center 10-31 32.3 30 Bol Dengdit 30% (9 pts) Vukasin Masic 30% (9 pts) Austin Rapp 52% (11 misses) Max Mackinnon 19% (4 misses)
Above-break 3 right 20-51 39.2 60 Austin Rapp 25% (15 pts) Bol Dengdit 25% (15 pts) Austin Rapp 39% (12 misses) Vukasin Masic 32% (10 misses)