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2024-12-01

Model Predictions

Model Denver Pioneers Portland Pilots Spread Result
Elo 32.5% 67.5% -
Bradley-Terry 32.1% 67.9% -
Margin 33.7% 66.3% +3.7 (7.3 off)
Pythagorean 52.4% 47.6% -
Efficiency 52.4% 47.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 33.2% 66.8% -
Log Adjusted 33.3% 66.7% -
Points Off/Def 37.5% 62.5% -

Actual: Portland Pilots +11 (101-90). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Denver Pioneers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
P. Lopez-Sanvicente * 45 7-14 2-5 0-0 7 3 0 1 1 16 12 -8.4
N. Shogbonyo * 41 6-14 3-8 5-5 6 5 2 0 1 20 18 -15.8
D. Craig * 40 7-12 1-4 1-2 4 5 1 0 2 16 12 -12.0
J. Lee * 24 1-7 0-4 4-5 2 3 2 0 0 6 6 +1.6
J. Pickett * 10 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 0 -2 -10.2
I. Addo-Ankrah 35 3-8 3-6 0-0 6 0 1 0 1 9 7 -18.1
S. Akins 33 6-17 1-8 4-4 5 2 2 0 0 17 9 -3.9
J. Mani 19 1-3 0-1 0-0 0 1 1 0 0 2 1 +6.7
B. Bowen 3 2-3 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 4 2 -0.1

Portland Pilots

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
V. Masic * 46 8-15 2-6 9-11 5 4 0 0 2 27 19 +12.0
C. Austin * 43 3-9 1-3 2-2 7 5 1 0 3 9 10 +16.8
A. Rapp * 41 5-9 3-7 7-7 6 3 1 2 3 20 20 +11.8
B. Dengdit * 21 3-6 2-5 2-2 4 1 0 2 3 10 8 -0.4
M. Mackinnon * 15 1-3 0-1 1-1 5 2 0 0 1 3 6 +14.7
V. Delano 40 5-9 2-4 6-8 6 5 1 0 0 18 21 +6.8
J. Ballisager Webb 18 6-9 0-0 2-3 5 0 0 0 0 14 10 +0.0
M. Ballew 11 0-3 0-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 0 -3 -4.8
T. Jones 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 0 2 +2.0
C. Lemke 7 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
J. Harris 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter