Model Predictions
| Model | Saint Mary's Gaels | Portland Pilots | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 91.8% | 8.2% | -19.5 | ✓ (3.5 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 91.4% | 8.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 98.0% | 2.0% | -21.5 | ✓ (1.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 78.7% | 21.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 96.4% | 3.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 96.4% | 3.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 86.3% | 13.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Portland Pilots -23 (58-81). Ratings: 2024-25 season-end ratings.
Saint Mary's Gaels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luke Barrett * | 32 | 1-7 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | +19.6 |
| Jordan Ross * | 31 | 5-9 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 13 | +18.0 |
| Augustas Marciulionis * | 31 | 8-17 | 3-6 | 3-3 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 19 | +16.4 |
| Mitchell Saxen * | 24 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 12 | +10.9 |
| Paulius Murauskas * | 23 | 2-8 | 1-2 | 1-3 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | +2.3 |
| Ashton Hardaway | 15 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | +13.8 |
| Mikey Lewis | 15 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 5-5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 9 | +3.8 |
| Andrew McKeever | 10 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | -3.8 |
| Harry Wessels | 8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -2.4 |
| Cade Bennett | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -5.5 |
| Joshua Dent | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3.9 |
| Kevin Gad | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3.1 |
Portland Pilots
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Austin Rapp * | 32 | 3-12 | 1-6 | 3-3 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 6 | -16.6 |
| Max Mackinnon * | 28 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 4-4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 7 | -7.4 |
| Vincent Delano * | 27 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 4 | -6.8 |
| Bol Dengdit * | 26 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | +0.4 |
| Jermaine Ballisager Webb * | 20 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | -11.2 |
| Mikah Ballew | 20 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 5 | +2.1 |
| Kelson Gebbers | 17 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -5.2 |
| Vukasin Masic | 13 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | -9.1 |
| Todd Jones Jr. | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | +5.9 |
| Mezziah Oakman | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -5.9 |
* = starter