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2025-01-02

Model Predictions

Model Portland Pilots Gonzaga Bulldogs Spread Result
Elo 6.9% 93.1% -
Bradley-Terry 5.8% 94.2% -
Margin 0.2% 99.8% +33.3 (2.3 off)
Pythagorean 14.4% 85.6% -
Efficiency 14.4% 85.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% -
Points Off/Def 4.8% 95.2% -

Actual: Gonzaga Bulldogs +31 (81-50). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Portland Pilots

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Rapp 33 2-8 2-6 0-0 4 1 0 1 4 6 0 -8.8
V. Delano 30 6-16 0-4 0-0 4 2 1 1 2 12 2 -21.3
V. Masic 22 0-3 0-3 0-0 2 2 1 0 0 0 2 -16.6
M. Ballew 22 2-10 1-4 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 5 -4 -14.0
M. Mackinnon 22 3-8 0-1 2-2 6 3 0 0 2 8 7 -11.9
B. Dengdit 22 2-5 0-1 2-2 8 1 0 1 1 6 10 -10.2
J. Ballisager Webb 12 2-2 1-1 0-2 1 0 0 1 1 5 4 -6.1
C. Austin 11 0-3 0-3 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -5 -7.2
M. Oakman 11 3-5 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 0 0 6 5 -11.2
T. Jones 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 1 0 2 +3.0
K. Gebbers 6 1-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 2 0 -7.4
C. Lemke 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 +5.0

Gonzaga Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
N. Hickman 29 5-8 3-5 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 13 7 +10.0
D. Stromer 28 5-9 2-5 0-0 2 0 1 1 1 12 6 +22.8
R. Nembhard 28 4-7 2-3 0-0 4 9 2 1 2 10 17 +25.4
K. Battle 23 3-10 2-6 2-2 2 2 0 0 3 10 1 +5.1
B. Gregg 22 2-4 0-1 3-4 9 2 4 0 1 7 17 +15.6
B. Huff 19 4-8 0-1 2-4 4 3 0 1 0 10 10 +15.1
M. Ajayi 18 1-7 0-0 3-4 15 2 1 0 0 5 16 +8.7
G. Ike 16 3-11 1-2 2-2 5 2 2 0 0 9 7 +13.2
E. Innocenti 9 1-2 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 3 2 +0.0
J. Yeo 4 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
J. Few 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0.1

* = starter