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2025-01-16

Model Predictions

Model Pacific Tigers Portland Pilots Spread Result
Elo 17.9% 82.1% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 31.8% 68.2% - โœ“
Margin 38.6% 61.4% +2.6 โœ“ (0.4 off)
Pythagorean 46.4% 53.6% - โœ“
Efficiency 40.5% 59.5% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 46.5% 53.5% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 46.8% 53.2% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 43.3% 56.7% - โœ“

Actual: Portland Pilots +3 (84-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Pacific Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Lamar Washington 45 6-14 2-4 0-0 9 12 3 0 3 14 21 -3.5
Petar Krivokapic 45 2-6 2-6 0-0 1 3 0 1 1 6 4 -3.3
Elias Ralph 43 9-18 3-6 5-7 11 3 1 2 2 26 23 -1.5
Elijah Fisher 40 7-12 2-3 2-4 1 2 4 1 7 18 7 -7.5
Carter Benton 24 3-7 3-7 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 9 5 -6.3
Jefferson Koulibaly 15 2-3 2-3 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 6 5 -4.1
Kris Keinys 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 +4.9
Jazz Gardner 4 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 +1.0
Burke Smith 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +3.0

Portland Pilots

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Vincent Delano 41 2-8 1-4 2-4 6 2 2 0 1 7 8 +5.4
Max Mackinnon 41 5-14 1-6 6-6 4 4 2 1 3 17 11 +4.4
Bol Dengdit 39 8-11 1-3 4-5 13 3 1 1 1 21 27 +5.5
Austin Rapp 35 3-9 2-5 6-7 4 0 0 5 5 14 9 -0.5
Mikah Ballew 26 4-9 2-5 3-3 1 1 1 0 1 13 6 +8.2
Chris Austin 22 4-6 1-1 0-0 4 2 0 0 2 9 7 -3.9
Kelson Gebbers 14 1-3 1-3 0-0 0 2 0 0 0 3 2 +3.1
Todd Jones 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 1 0 1 -1.9
Jermaine Ballisager Webb 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 3 1 0 0 0 5 -3.0

* = starter