Model Predictions
| Model | Portland Pilots | Long Beach State Beach | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 63.9% | 36.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 62.1% | 37.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 46.0% | 54.0% | +0.9 | ✗ (2.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.3% | 49.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 50.3% | 49.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 65.0% | 35.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 65.2% | 34.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 49.4% | 50.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Long Beach State Beach -2 (61-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Portland Pilots
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Austin * | 32 | 2-8 | 0-2 | 3-7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 1 | +2.0 |
| A. Rapp * | 31 | 5-10 | 5-8 | 3-3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 13 | -4.5 |
| M. Mackinnon * | 31 | 5-11 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 5 | +10.6 |
| V. Masic * | 28 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 2-3 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 13 | +2.7 |
| T. Jones * | 24 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 10 | +4.5 |
| M. Ballew | 21 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | +4.2 |
| V. Delano | 14 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | -1.8 |
| J. Ballisager Webb | 10 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -1.9 |
| B. Dengdit | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3.0 |
Long Beach State Beach
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Askew * | 38 | 3-14 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 11 | -2.7 |
| R. Lloyd Jr. * | 29 | 5-13 | 2-6 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 6 | +2.4 |
| TJ Wainwright * | 28 | 4-10 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 3 | - |
| A. Johnson * | 22 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | -6.4 |
| D. Xzavierro * | 21 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 10 | -4.4 |
| C. Denson | 26 | 5-7 | 2-3 | 3-11 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 19 | +3.4 |
| A. Nagy | 18 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | -7.2 |
| K. Martin | 15 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +3.7 |
| C. Richardson | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter