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2024-11-16

Model Predictions

Model Portland Pilots Long Beach State Beach Spread Result
Elo 63.9% 36.1% -
Bradley-Terry 62.1% 37.9% -
Margin 46.0% 54.0% +0.9 (2.9 off)
Pythagorean 50.3% 49.7% -
Efficiency 50.3% 49.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 65.0% 35.0% -
Log Adjusted 65.2% 34.8% -
Points Off/Def 49.4% 50.6% -

Actual: Long Beach State Beach -2 (61-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Portland Pilots

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Austin * 32 2-8 0-2 3-7 2 0 1 1 2 7 1 +2.0
A. Rapp * 31 5-10 5-8 3-3 4 1 0 1 1 18 13 -4.5
M. Mackinnon * 31 5-11 1-3 1-1 3 2 1 0 2 12 5 +10.6
V. Masic * 28 3-7 1-4 2-3 7 6 1 0 3 9 13 +2.7
T. Jones * 24 3-4 0-0 2-2 6 1 0 0 1 8 10 +4.5
M. Ballew 21 2-4 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 4 3 +4.2
V. Delano 14 1-5 0-1 0-0 0 2 0 0 1 2 -2 -1.8
J. Ballisager Webb 10 1-2 1-1 0-1 0 0 0 1 0 3 2 -1.9
B. Dengdit 9 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -3.0

Long Beach State Beach

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Askew * 38 3-14 2-7 2-2 8 6 2 0 1 10 11 -2.7
R. Lloyd Jr. * 29 5-13 2-6 3-4 4 1 0 0 1 15 6 +2.4
TJ Wainwright * 28 4-10 2-7 0-0 0 2 1 0 0 10 3 -
A. Johnson * 22 1-1 0-0 2-2 2 0 0 0 3 4 2 -6.4
D. Xzavierro * 21 2-4 1-2 0-0 6 1 1 2 1 5 10 -4.4
C. Denson 26 5-7 2-3 3-11 9 1 2 1 2 15 19 +3.4
A. Nagy 18 1-3 0-1 0-0 7 1 0 0 0 2 7 -7.2
K. Martin 15 0-3 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 -1 +3.7
C. Richardson 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter