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2024-11-12

Model Predictions

Model Portland Pilots Oregon Ducks Spread Result
Elo 7.5% 92.5% -
Bradley-Terry 5.8% 94.2% -
Margin 0.7% 99.3% +27.2 (17.2 off)
Pythagorean 18.5% 81.5% -
Efficiency 18.5% 81.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% -
Points Off/Def 8.0% 92.0% -

Actual: Oregon Ducks +10 (80-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Portland Pilots

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Rapp * 41 3-9 3-8 0-2 9 5 0 2 3 9 13 -12.8
C. Austin * 37 3-6 0-2 5-7 2 1 0 0 2 11 6 -17.0
V. Masic * 37 4-15 2-9 2-3 6 4 1 0 3 12 5 -5.4
T. Jones * 25 4-8 0-1 2-2 10 0 2 0 0 10 14 +10.9
M. Mackinnon * 15 1-4 0-1 0-0 3 0 1 0 2 2 0 -0.1
V. Delano 34 4-9 2-3 2-2 5 2 0 1 3 12 8 -5.4
M. Ballew 24 3-9 2-5 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 8 0 -8.7
J. Ballisager Webb 9 2-3 2-2 0-0 0 3 0 0 1 6 5 +10.8
M. Oakman 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -

Oregon Ducks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Shelstad * 34 5-19 1-8 2-3 10 5 3 0 0 13 12 +5.4
N. Bittle * 33 4-7 0-2 5-5 9 2 0 1 1 13 17 +7.2
TJ Bamba * 30 3-9 1-5 3-4 4 2 0 0 3 10 4 +4.7
B. Angel * 30 2-3 1-2 2-2 2 0 1 0 2 7 5 +5.7
K. Evans Jr. * 15 0-4 0-2 1-2 4 1 0 1 2 1 1 +3.9
J. Tracey 34 8-11 1-2 2-5 5 2 4 0 1 19 18 +15.0
R. Moss 24 1-6 0-3 2-2 5 1 3 0 1 4 6 -8.8
K. Barthelemy 22 5-10 3-7 0-0 3 1 1 0 0 13 8 +0.6
M. Cook 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -3.0

* = starter