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2024-12-30

Model Predictions

Model Portland Pilots Oregon State Beavers Spread Result
Elo 28.8% 71.2% -
Bradley-Terry 17.8% 82.2% -
Margin 3.3% 96.7% +18.6 (8.6 off)
Pythagorean 17.9% 82.1% -
Efficiency 17.9% 82.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% -
Points Off/Def 15.9% 84.1% -

Actual: Oregon State Beavers +10 (89-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Portland Pilots

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Mackinnon 29 6-9 1-2 1-1 0 4 1 0 3 14 7 -9.9
A. Rapp 27 7-12 5-10 3-3 6 0 1 1 2 22 16 -12.9
B. Dengdit 26 2-6 0-3 2-2 5 3 0 0 1 6 7 -6.8
V. Delano 24 3-8 1-4 1-1 2 0 1 0 0 8 3 -12.9
V. Masic 22 2-6 2-5 1-2 0 6 1 0 0 7 8 +5.0
M. Ballew 20 2-3 1-1 2-2 1 2 0 0 1 7 6 +1.0
J. Ballisager Webb 17 3-3 1-1 3-3 2 1 0 0 1 10 9 -0.9
C. Austin 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -6.1
K. Gebbers 14 1-4 1-4 0-0 1 1 0 1 0 3 2 -6.0
T. Jones 7 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 2 1 +0.0

Oregon State Beavers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Rataj 34 12-15 2-3 2-4 5 5 2 0 4 28 21 +9.9
D. Minor 33 1-4 0-2 0-0 3 6 0 0 3 2 4 +6.9
N. Kingz 29 6-9 1-4 2-2 4 2 2 0 0 15 14 +15.9
I. Sy 28 5-8 4-7 0-0 4 2 2 0 0 14 14 +10.9
L. Lelevicius 26 5-8 3-5 2-2 4 3 0 1 1 15 14 +10.0
P. Fallah 24 6-10 0-0 3-3 2 3 0 0 1 15 9 -3.0
J. Lake 19 0-3 0-2 0-0 4 1 1 0 0 0 3 +4.8
M. Marsh 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -4.1
D. Craig 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2.0

* = starter