Model Predictions
| Model | UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | Portland Pilots | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 72.4% | 27.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 68.4% | 31.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 74.5% | 25.5% | -5.9 | ✓ (35.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 74.0% | 26.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 74.1% | 25.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 79.6% | 20.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 79.7% | 20.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 60.3% | 39.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Portland Pilots -41 (53-94). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UC Santa Barbara Gauchos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jason Fontenet II * | 21 | 8-9 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 15 | +23.6 |
| Stephan Swenson * | 20 | 1-8 | 0-7 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | +27.5 |
| Cole Anderson * | 20 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | +15.9 |
| Kenny Pohto * | 18 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 15 | +9.4 |
| Colin Smith * | 17 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | +8.4 |
| Deuce Turner | 19 | 6-11 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 12 | +41.7 |
| Max Murrell | 16 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | +21.6 |
| Ben Shtolzberg | 14 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 8 | +26.0 |
| Ariel Bland | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | +9.1 |
| Zion Sensley | 9 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | +3.1 |
| Chris Mitchell | 9 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | +5.9 |
| Evans Kipruto | 8 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | -2.0 |
| Zachiah Clark | 8 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | +10.1 |
| Koat Keat Tong | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | -0.9 |
| Henry Hartwell | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -0.0 |
| Bryce Howard | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -0.0 |
| Max Sheldon | 2 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| David Pickles | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.0 |
Portland Pilots
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jinup Dobuol | 9 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -4.2 |
| Vukasin Masic * | 31 | 9-13 | 2-5 | 4-5 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 24 | 18 | -39.8 |
| Austin Rapp * | 29 | 3-9 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 8 | -18.8 |
| Todd Jones * | 23 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -21.3 |
| Max Mackinnon * | 22 | 2-9 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -2 | -29.9 |
| Mezziah Oakman * | 20 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | -7.7 |
| Chris Austin | 26 | 2-10 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | -4 | -34.6 |
| Vincent Delano | 20 | 0-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -7 | -29.4 |
| Mikah Ballew | 11 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -7.0 |
| Jermaine Ballisager Webb | 5 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -4.0 |
| Coleman Lemke | 3 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | -3.1 |
| Jude Harris | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter