Pacific Tigers

Season: 2027 preview 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017

Also known as: Pacific Tigers

Program History

2026 Team Stats (30 games)

65.6

PPG

68.7

Opp

-3.1

Margin

40.3%

FG%

32.2%

3P%

76.7%

FT%

36.1

RPG

14.1

APG

17.1

69.9

Est. poss./game

62.9

Adj PPG

66.5

Adj Opp PPG

#206

Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2025-2026

Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model	Output	Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More →	842 (#257)	-
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More →	899 (#245)	-
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +106 elo More →	905 (#289)	HCA +106 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.4 More →	-3.2 (#200)	HCA +2.4
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.6 More →	-3.6 (#209)	HCA +2.6
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More →	0.277 (#249)	-
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -7.7 More →	0.277 (#249)	NetEff -7.7
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -4.0 More →	0.386 (#195)	AdjNet -4.0
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -4.0 More →	0.386 (#195)	AdjNet -4.0
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 62.9 \| AdjD 66.5 More →	0.419 (#206)	AdjO 62.9 \| AdjD 66.5
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 63.1 \| AdjD 67.2 More →	0.409 (#237)	AdjO 63.1 \| AdjD 67.2
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More →	0.371 (#228)	Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More →	0.369 (#233)	Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 150 \| GP 29 More →	891 (#248)	RD 150 \| GP 29

2026 Schedule & Results

Date	Vs/At	Opponent	Result	Score
2025-11-03	vs	UC San Diego Tritons	W	69 - 66
2025-11-08	vs	California Baptist Lancers	L	54 - 67
2025-11-11	@	California Golden Bears	L	52 - 60
2025-11-16	vs	Seton Hall Pirates	L	57 - 79
2025-11-23	vs	Cal State Fullerton Titans	L	56 - 68
2025-11-28	vs	Milwaukee Panthers	W	77 - 48
2025-11-29	vs	Jacksonville State Gamecocks	W	70 - 63
2025-12-04	vs	Sacramento State Hornets	W	67 - 54
2025-12-07	@	San Diego State Aztecs	L	68 - 70
2025-12-13	@	Nevada Wolf Pack	-	Preview
2025-12-19	vs	Simpson (CA) Red Hawks	W	116 - 49
2025-12-21	vs	Washington Huskies	L	50 - 90
2025-12-28	vs	Seattle U Redhawks	W	85 - 66
2025-12-30	vs	San Diego Toreros	W	72 - 68
2026-01-02	@	Oregon State Beavers	L	61 - 81
2026-01-04	@	Portland Pilots	L	53 - 74
2026-01-08	vs	Saint Mary's Gaels	L	55 - 60
2026-01-15	@	Pepperdine Waves	L	53 - 71
2026-01-17	vs	Loyola Marymount Lions	L	54 - 74
2026-01-22	vs	Washington State Cougars	W	65 - 53
2026-01-24	@	San Francisco Dons	L	61 - 68
2026-01-29	@	Loyola Marymount Lions	L	66 - 87
2026-02-05	vs	Santa Clara Broncos	W	90 - 82
2026-02-07	@	Gonzaga Bulldogs	L	44 - 72
2026-02-12	@	Saint Mary's Gaels	W	56 - 53
2026-02-14	vs	Oregon State Beavers	L	60 - 70
2026-02-19	vs	San Francisco Dons	W	73 - 51
2026-02-21	vs	Gonzaga Bulldogs	L	70 - 85
2026-02-26	@	Santa Clara Broncos	L	79 - 87
2026-02-28	@	San Diego Toreros	L	59 - 64
2026-03-06	vs	Washington State Cougars	L	76 - 82

2026 Roster

Show Alumni

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player	Pos	GP	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TO	FGA	Numbers	PM	PM GP	PM/G	PM/40	FG%	3P%	FT%	RAPM	TS%	eFG%
Winner Bartholomew	F	29	24.4	13.3	5.4	1.0	0.6	0.1	2.0	11.5	6.9	-73	27	-2.7	-4.6	45.3	25.0	78.3	-1.48	50.8	45.5
Sydney Ward	G	30	27.5	11.3	6.8	1.6	1.1	1.1	2.1	7.2	12.6	-29	28	-1.0	-1.5	51.2	39.4	82.7	0.25	63.9	57.1
Daria Nestorov	G	30	29.9	10.4	2.6	4.9	1.7	0.1	3.1	10.2	6.3	-43	28	-1.5	-2.1	38.1	31.8	82.4	1.05	47.2	43.8
Sophia Mindermann	G	30	22.8	8.9	1.8	1.1	0.7	0.0	1.4	7.5	3.7	-73	28	-2.6	-4.8	38.5	35.8	81.6	-0.08	55.2	52.4
Nyah Lowery	G	30	21.1	5.9	3.3	1.1	0.8	0.1	1.6	6.3	3.3	-86	28	-3.1	-6.2	34.2	28.7	73.9	-1.92	44.5	42.4
Stella Szabo	G	30	22.3	4.3	2.8	0.8	0.7	0.1	1.2	4.2	3.4	1	28	0.0	0.1	33.6	35.3	53.8	1.88	46.9	45.6
Marina Radocaj	G	27	19.0	4.1	4.4	1.1	0.6	1.2	1.8	3.9	5.7	-44	25	-1.8	-3.9	48.1	0.0	37.0	-2.22	47.5	48.1
Liv Yergensen	G	28	17.1	3.6	1.6	1.1	0.2	0.1	1.6	3.6	1.4	-99	26	-3.8	-9.0	31.0	20.0	82.4	-3.17	43.5	36.0
Luisa Anderegg	F	29	9.0	2.8	1.5	0.7	0.2	0.1	0.6	2.5	2.1	-63	26	-2.4	-10.0	35.6	32.7	92.3	-3.28	50.8	46.6
Mali Ennis	G	7	5.3	2.4	0.7	0.4	0.1	0.0	0.4	2.1	1.1	25	7	3.6	26.9	40.0	37.5	100.0	-0.63	53.5	50.0
Hannah Burg	G	20	7.2	1.6	1.2	0.7	0.3	0.0	0.9	1.6	1.3	7	19	0.4	2.1	37.5	20.0	80.0	-0.09	45.3	42.2
Lamiracle Lebon	F	12	9.3	1.5	1.6	0.4	0.2	0.2	0.7	1.0	2.2	7	11	0.6	2.7	33.3	0	71.4	0.08	49.6	33.3
Kenlee Durrill	G	5	5.4	0.4	0.6	0.6	0.0	0.0	0.4	1.4	-0.2	21	5	4.2	30.5	0.0	0.0	100.0	-0.84	12.7	0.0
Tyla Fautua	F	3	5.0	0.0	1.3	0.3	0.3	0.0	0.0	1.0	1.0	-	-	-	-	0.0	0	0	-0.02	0.0	0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG

2025-2026 Shot Zones

1743 located field-goal attempts in 30 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).

Points: who the team's points here most likely come from

Misses: who misses most here

Winner BartholomewDaria NestorovSydney WardSophia MindermannNyah Lowery

Zone	FGM-FGA	FG%	Pts	Top scorer	Runner-up	Most misses	Runner-up
Restricted area	218-397	54.9	436	Sydney Ward 25% (108 pts)	Winner Bartholomew 23% (102 pts)	Sydney Ward 22% (39 misses)	Winner Bartholomew 21% (37 misses)
Paint (non-RA)	152-365	41.6	304	Winner Bartholomew 38% (114 pts)	Sydney Ward 16% (50 pts)	Winner Bartholomew 35% (74 misses)	Daria Nestorov 15% (33 misses)
Mid-range left	54-144	37.5	108	Daria Nestorov 37% (40 pts)	Winner Bartholomew 31% (34 pts)	Daria Nestorov 43% (39 misses)	Winner Bartholomew 30% (27 misses)
Mid-range center	22-63	34.9	44	Winner Bartholomew 50% (22 pts)	Daria Nestorov 36% (16 pts)	Winner Bartholomew 39% (16 misses)	Daria Nestorov 37% (15 misses)
Mid-range right	38-98	38.8	76	Winner Bartholomew 37% (28 pts)	Daria Nestorov 21% (16 pts)	Winner Bartholomew 42% (25 misses)	Nyah Lowery 20% (12 misses)
Left corner 3	26-73	35.6	78	Sophia Mindermann 27% (21 pts)	Stella Szabo 27% (21 pts)	Sophia Mindermann 30% (14 misses)	Nyah Lowery 23% (11 misses)
Right corner 3	23-54	42.6	69	Sophia Mindermann 39% (27 pts)	Nyah Lowery 26% (18 pts)	Nyah Lowery 23% (7 misses)	Sophia Mindermann 23% (7 misses)
Above-break 3 left	77-260	29.6	231	Sophia Mindermann 25% (57 pts)	Daria Nestorov 22% (51 pts)	Sophia Mindermann 28% (52 misses)	Daria Nestorov 18% (33 misses)
Above-break 3 center	32-101	31.7	96	Sydney Ward 31% (30 pts)	Daria Nestorov 22% (21 pts)	Daria Nestorov 36% (25 misses)	Sydney Ward 20% (14 misses)
Above-break 3 right	60-188	31.9	180	Sophia Mindermann 37% (66 pts)	Stella Szabo 23% (42 pts)	Sophia Mindermann 27% (34 misses)	Stella Szabo 20% (25 misses)