Model Predictions
| Model | Cal State Fullerton Titans | Pacific Tigers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 56.1% | 43.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 53.4% | 46.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 41.9% | 58.1% | +1.8 | ✗ (13.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 64.7% | 35.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 79.0% | 21.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 45.9% | 54.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 45.0% | 55.0% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 46.0% | 54.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Pacific Tigers -12 (56-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cal State Fullerton Titans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicole Steiner | 37 | 9-14 | 0-0 | 4-8 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 20 | +0.1 |
| Kya Pearson | 36 | 1-8 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 7 | +7.3 |
| Cristina Jones | 29 | 6-13 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 7 | 1 | 10 | 0 | 6 | 15 | 14 | +15.5 |
| Dylan Swindle | 27 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 6-6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 4 | +2.4 |
| Jana Falsdottir | 25 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 8 | -1.5 |
| Madelynn Muniz | 17 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -3 | +2.9 |
| Maxine Sutisna | 14 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | -5.0 |
| Lilliana Petersen | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -8.9 |
| Talia Maxwell | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2.3 |
| Basak Orhan | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -5.2 |
| Mimi Moon | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Pacific Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liv Yergensen | 35 | 1-10 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -2 | -5.2 |
| Daria Nestorov | 32 | 1-7 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 4 | -2 | +2.4 |
| Sydney Ward | 31 | 4-9 | 0-2 | 8-8 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 14 | +0.3 |
| Sophia Mindermann | 28 | 3-10 | 2-9 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 4 | +9.4 |
| Stella Szabo | 27 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 6 | +1.3 |
| Winner Bartholomew | 24 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 13 | -7.6 |
| Nyah Lowery | 11 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | -10.8 |
| Luisa Anderegg | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3.6 |
| Marina Radocaj | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | +4.8 |
* = starter