Model Predictions
| Model | Jacksonville State Gamecocks | Pacific Tigers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 45.5% | 54.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 41.0% | 59.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 29.9% | 70.1% | +4.7 | ✓ (2.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 59.1% | 40.9% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 68.7% | 31.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 33.2% | 66.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 32.9% | 67.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 40.1% | 59.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Pacific Tigers +7 (70-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Jacksonville State Gamecocks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adriana Jones | 36 | 6-17 | 1-7 | 2-4 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 8 | -3.2 |
| Mya Barnes | 35 | 4-10 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 8 | -6.7 |
| Eden Sample | 34 | 3-9 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 2 | -12.9 |
| Makala Hobdy | 30 | 3-7 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 5 | -10.8 |
| Mina Djurdjevic | 23 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 6 | -0.3 |
| Brooklyn McDaniel | 19 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 8 | -0.7 |
| Kyera Thornsbury | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -2.0 |
| Vitoria Carvalho | 11 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -5.8 |
Pacific Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daria Nestorov | 35 | 4-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 6 | +9.4 |
| Stella Szabo | 29 | 3-3 | 2-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 10 | +8.1 |
| Marina Radocaj | 27 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 17 | +19.8 |
| Sydney Ward | 24 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 3 | -2.7 |
| Nyah Lowery | 20 | 5-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 9 | +12.4 |
| Winner Bartholomew | 20 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 9 | -0.7 |
| Liv Yergensen | 19 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -4.1 |
| Sophia Mindermann | 16 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | -1.8 |
| Luisa Anderegg | 10 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 8 | -4.0 |
* = starter