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Ohio State

Also known as: Ohio State Buckeyes
Program History

2012 Team Stats (33 games)

74.2
PPG
60.6
Opp
+13.6
Margin
47.4%
FG%
34.1%
3P%
72.3%
FT%
36.3
RPG
14.2
APG
12.2
TO
-
Est. poss./game
77.1
Adj PPG
55.6
Adj Opp PPG
#1
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2011-2012
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 1546 (#3) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 1384 (#3) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +101 elo More โ†’ 1213 (#3) HCA +101 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.2 More โ†’ +22.8 (#1) HCA +3.2
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.2 More โ†’ +21.0 (#2) HCA +3.2
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.928 (#2) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +35.8 More โ†’ 0.985 (#1) AdjNet +35.8
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +36.3 More โ†’ 0.985 (#1) AdjNet +36.3
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 77.1 | AdjD 55.6 More โ†’ 0.877 (#1) AdjO 77.1 | AdjD 55.6
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 75.3 | AdjD 59.6 More โ†’ 0.807 (#2) AdjO 75.3 | AdjD 59.6
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.929 (#2) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.922 (#2) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 83 | GP 39 More โ†’ 1396 (#4) RD 83 | GP 39

2012 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2011-11-11 vs Wright State Raiders W 73 - 42
2011-11-15 vs Florida Gators W 81 - 74
2011-11-18 vs Jackson State Tigers W 85 - 41
2011-11-21 vs North Florida Ospreys W 85 - 50
2011-11-23 vs VMI Keydets W 107 - 74
2011-11-25 vs Valparaiso Beacons W 80 - 47
2011-11-29 vs Duke Blue Devils W 85 - 63
2011-12-03 vs UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros W 64 - 35
2011-12-10 @ Kansas Jayhawks L 67 - 78
2011-12-14 vs South Carolina Upstate Spartans W 82 - 58
2011-12-17 @ South Carolina Gamecocks W 74 - 66
2011-12-20 vs Lamar Cardinals W 70 - 50
2011-12-22 vs Miami (OH) Redhawks W 69 - 40
2011-12-28 vs Northwestern Wildcats W 87 - 54
2011-12-31 @ Indiana Hoosiers L 70 - 74
2012-01-03 vs Nebraska Cornhuskers W 71 - 40
2012-01-07 @ Iowa Hawkeyes W 76 - 47
2012-01-10 @ Illinois Fighting Illini L 74 - 79
2012-01-15 vs Indiana Hoosiers W 80 - 63
2012-01-21 @ Nebraska Cornhuskers W 79 - 45
2012-01-25 vs Penn State Nittany Lions W 78 - 54
2012-01-29 vs Michigan Wolverines W 64 - 49
2012-02-04 @ Wisconsin Badgers W 58 - 52
2012-02-07 vs Purdue Boilermakers W 87 - 84
2012-02-11 vs Michigan State Spartans L 48 - 58
2012-02-14 @ Minnesota Golden Gophers W 78 - 68
2012-02-18 @ Michigan Wolverines L 51 - 56
2012-02-21 vs Illinois Fighting Illini W 83 - 67
2012-02-26 vs Wisconsin Badgers L 60 - 63
2012-02-29 @ Northwestern Wildcats W 75 - 73
2012-03-04 @ Michigan State Spartans W 72 - 70
2012-03-09 vs Purdue Boilermakers W 88 - 71
2012-03-10 @ Michigan Wolverines W 77 - 55
2012-03-11 @ Michigan State Spartans L 64 - 68
2012-03-15 vs Loyola Maryland Greyhounds W 78 - 59
2012-03-17 vs Gonzaga Bulldogs W 73 - 66
2012-03-22 vs Cincinnati Bearcats W 81 - 66
2012-03-24 @ Syracuse Orange W 77 - 70
2012-03-31 @ Kansas Jayhawks L 62 - 64

2012 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Jared Sullinger Jared Sullinger F 37 30.4 17.5 9.2 1.2 1.2 1.1 1.9 10.5 17.7 451 33 13.7 19.2 51.4 38.9 75.9 5.89 67.1 53.2
Deshaun Thomas Deshaun Thomas F 39 31.4 15.9 5.4 0.9 0.4 0.2 1.2 10.9 10.6 460 35 13.1 17.9 51.5 34.6 75.2 5.69 65.4 56.8
William Buford William Buford G 39 33.8 14.5 5.0 2.7 0.8 0.2 2.2 11.7 9.4 427 35 12.2 15.4 42.4 36.9 84.0 2.04 56.4 48.9
Aaron Craft Aaron Craft G 39 32.2 8.8 3.2 4.6 2.5 0.2 2.2 5.3 11.9 409 35 11.7 15.4 49.8 37.9 72.2 1.58 65.7 55.1
L. Smith Jr. L. Smith Jr. G 39 25.4 6.8 4.6 2.0 0.9 0.1 1.2 4.3 8.9 295 35 8.4 14.4 47.9 38.7 60.7 1.57 64.7 56.6
Evan Ravenel Evan Ravenel F 39 10.2 3.4 2.2 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.7 2.0 3.6 58 34 1.7 7.0 55.1 0 69.5 -1.32 64.0 55.1
Jordan Sibert Jordan Sibert G 24 11.4 3.0 1.4 0.8 0.5 0.0 0.6 3.2 1.8 98 21 4.7 18.5 28.6 26.0 62.5 2.11 42.2 37.0
J.D. Weatherspoon J.D. Weatherspoon F 26 6.0 2.9 1.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 1.7 2.5 10 23 0.4 2.9 64.4 0.0 58.1 -1.23 64.8 64.4
Sam Thompson Sam Thompson F 39 10.6 2.1 1.1 0.7 0.2 0.4 0.5 1.7 2.3 166 34 4.9 18.0 50.8 8.3 60.0 3.02 54.9 51.5
LaQuinton Ross LaQuinton Ross F 9 3.9 2.0 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.4 0.8 -8 8 -1.0 -12.1 30.8 25.0 85.7 -1.4 56.0 38.5
Amir Williams Amir Williams C 29 6.6 1.7 2.1 0.1 0.2 0.8 0.3 1.2 3.3 14 25 0.6 3.9 54.3 0 35.7 -0.83 50.7 54.3
Shannon Scott Shannon Scott G 36 10.6 1.2 1.1 1.7 0.5 0.1 1.0 1.9 1.6 95 32 3.0 12.5 26.1 5.6 22.2 0.52 29.5 26.8
Trey McDonald Trey McDonald C 13 2.9 0.2 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.4 0.0 -15 10 -1.5 -19.6 0.0 0 0 -2.96 20.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG