Model Predictions
| Model | Ohio State Buckeyes | Michigan State Spartans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 51.5% | 48.5% | -1.3 | ✗ (5.3 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 48.1% | 51.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 49.5% | 50.5% | +0.1 | ✓ (3.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.8% | 52.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 62.6% | 37.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 62.7% | 37.3% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 50.0% | 50.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Michigan State Spartans +4 (68-64). Ratings: 2011-12 season-end ratings.
Ohio State Buckeyes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Buford * | 40 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 15 | - |
| Deshaun Thomas * | 40 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 19 | - |
| Aaron Craft * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 23 | - |
| Lenzelle Smith Jr. * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 14 | - |
| Jared Sullinger * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 27 | - |
| Shannon Scott | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Evan Ravenel | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Sam Thompson | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Amir Williams | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Draymond Green * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 23 | - |
| Keith Appling * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 11 | - |
| Brandon Wood * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 23 | - |
| Austin Thornton * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 14 | - |
| Adreian Payne * | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 13 | - |
| Derrick Nix | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 16 | - |
| Brandan Kearney | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Travis Trice II | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
* = starter