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2012-03-17

Model Predictions

Model Gonzaga Bulldogs Ohio State Buckeyes Spread Result
Elo 61.6% 38.4% -
Bradley-Terry 53.8% 46.2% -
Margin 56.6% 43.4% -1.5 (8.5 off)
Pythagorean 47.3% 52.7% -
Efficiency 12.9% 87.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 19.3% 80.7% -
Log Adjusted 19.5% 80.5% -

Actual: Ohio State Buckeyes +7 (73-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Gonzaga Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
G. Bell Jr. * 36 5-9 3-5 5-6 4 5 0 0 1 18 17 -
K. Pangos * 34 3-13 2-8 2-2 1 1 2 0 2 10 -1 -
E. Harris * 34 6-14 2-6 2-4 7 0 0 0 1 16 8 -
R. Sacre * 24 3-6 0-0 2-3 6 1 0 1 2 8 8 -
G. Edi * 20 1-2 0-1 2-2 3 1 0 0 0 4 6 -
S. Dower 18 4-9 1-1 0-0 6 1 0 0 3 9 4 -
M. Hart 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 0 3 -
D. Stockton 14 0-2 0-1 1-2 1 5 0 0 0 1 5 -
M. Carter 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
R. Spangler 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
M. Monninghoff 1 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Ohio State Buckeyes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Craft * 40 7-9 1-3 2-2 3 10 3 0 2 17 22 -
W. Buford * 40 4-13 2-7 3-4 5 1 1 0 1 13 6 -
D. Thomas * 39 7-15 3-7 1-2 7 1 0 2 2 18 11 -
L. Smith Jr. * 28 2-6 1-4 2-2 5 1 0 1 2 7 6 -
J. Sullinger * 26 5-9 2-2 6-7 4 0 1 0 1 18 13 -
E. Ravenel 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 0 0 -
S. Scott 11 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 1 0 1 0 -1 -
A. Williams 4 0-0 0-0 0-1 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 -
S. Thompson 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter