Model Predictions
| Model | Ohio State Buckeyes | Illinois Fighting Illini | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 20.1% | 79.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 59.5% | 40.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 45.4% | 54.6% | +1.0 | ✓ (4.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 70.4% | 29.6% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 95.4% | 4.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 93.1% | 6.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 93.2% | 6.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Illinois Fighting Illini +5 (79-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Ohio State Buckeyes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Craft * | 40 | 6-11 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 11 | - |
| J. Sullinger * | 38 | 9-16 | 2-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 11 | - |
| W. Buford * | 37 | 7-18 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 15 | -2 | - |
| D. Thomas * | 34 | 8-12 | 1-2 | 6-7 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 17 | - |
| L. Smith Jr. * | 25 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| S. Thompson | 18 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| J.D. Weatherspoon | 6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| E. Ravenel | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Illinois Fighting Illini
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D.J. Richardson * | 40 | 3-8 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 7 | - |
| M. Leonard * | 38 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 9 | - |
| B. Paul * | 36 | 11-15 | 8-10 | 13-15 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 43 | 37 | - |
| J. Bertrand * | 35 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 10 | - |
| T. Abrams * | 32 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | - |
| M. Henry | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| N. Egwu | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| T. Griffey | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
* = starter