Model Predictions
| Model | Illinois Fighting Illini | Ohio State Buckeyes | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 5.1% | 94.9% | +19.1 | ✓ (3.1 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 15.8% | 84.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 4.0% | 96.0% | +17.4 | ✓ (1.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 34.6% | 65.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 17.7% | 82.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Ohio State Buckeyes +16 (83-67). Ratings: 2011-12 season-end ratings.
Illinois Fighting Illini
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Meyers Leonard * | 36 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 7-9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 21 | 17 | - |
| D.J. Richardson * | 36 | 4-12 | 2-8 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 8 | - |
| Brandon Paul * | 32 | 2-9 | 0-3 | 5-6 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Tracy Abrams * | 22 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | - |
| Tyler Griffey * | 15 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Sam Maniscalco | 22 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Joseph Bertrand | 14 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Myke Henry | 9 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Mike Shaw | 6 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Nnanna Egwu | 6 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Ibby Djimde | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Ohio State Buckeyes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deshaun Thomas * | 32 | 6-8 | 2-2 | 5-6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 16 | - |
| Aaron Craft * | 31 | 4-5 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 16 | - |
| Jared Sullinger * | 27 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 1-4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 7 | - |
| William Buford * | 26 | 7-9 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 9 | - |
| L. Smith Jr. * | 20 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 9 | - |
| Shannon Scott | 22 | 0-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Sam Thompson | 11 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Evan Ravenel | 9 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Amir Williams | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Jordan Sibert | 6 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| LaQuinton Ross | 5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| J.D. Weatherspoon | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Trey McDonald | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter