Model Predictions
| Model | Ohio State Buckeyes | Michigan State Spartans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 51.5% | 48.5% | -1.3 | ✓ (0.7 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 48.1% | 51.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 49.5% | 50.5% | +0.1 | ✗ (2.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.8% | 52.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 62.6% | 37.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 62.7% | 37.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 50.0% | 50.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Michigan State Spartans -2 (70-72). Ratings: 2011-12 season-end ratings.
Ohio State Buckeyes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aaron Craft * | 40 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 5-7 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 20 | - |
| Deshaun Thomas * | 39 | 5-12 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 6 | - |
| William Buford * | 39 | 8-14 | 2-6 | 7-11 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 25 | 17 | - |
| Jared Sullinger * | 33 | 5-17 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 11 | - |
| L. Smith Jr. * | 22 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Sam Thompson | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Evan Ravenel | 8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Shannon Scott | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Draymond Green * | 36 | 6-18 | 1-3 | 6-8 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 19 | 14 | - |
| Keith Appling * | 36 | 4-11 | 1-3 | 2-5 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Austin Thornton * | 30 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | - |
| Adreian Payne * | 18 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Branden Dawson * | 7 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Brandon Wood | 33 | 6-12 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 7 | - |
| Derrick Nix | 21 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Brandan Kearney | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Travis Trice II | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Alex Gauna | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter