Model Predictions
| Model | Michigan State Spartans | Ohio State Buckeyes | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 27.3% | 72.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 37.7% | 62.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 24.3% | 75.7% | +6.3 | ✗ (16.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.2% | 53.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 31.4% | 68.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 31.3% | 68.7% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 36.7% | 63.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Ohio State Buckeyes -10 (48-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Draymond Green * | 34 | 5-16 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 5 | - |
| Austin Thornton * | 31 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Keith Appling * | 29 | 4-10 | 1-4 | 5-6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 14 | 0 | - |
| Branden Dawson * | 20 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 8 | - |
| Adreian Payne * | 20 | 6-6 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 16 | - |
| Brandon Wood | 31 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | - |
| Derrick Nix | 19 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -1 | - |
| Travis Trice | 12 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Brandan Kearney | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Alex Gauna | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Ohio State Buckeyes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aaron Craft * | 40 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 8-8 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 13 | - |
| Jared Sullinger * | 40 | 5-15 | 1-2 | 6-8 | 16 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 17 | 11 | - |
| William Buford * | 36 | 2-12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -6 | - |
| Deshaun Thomas * | 32 | 2-12 | 0-5 | 4-6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | -1 | - |
| L. Smith Jr. * | 30 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Sam Thompson | 14 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Evan Ravenel | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter