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2012-02-18

Model Predictions

Model Ohio State Buckeyes Michigan Wolverines Spread Result
Elo 76.5% 23.5% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 56.5% 43.5% - โœ—
Margin 78.8% 21.2% -7.2 โœ— (12.2 off)
Pythagorean 54.7% 45.3% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 88.8% 11.2% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 88.9% 11.1% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 65.8% 34.2% - โœ—

Actual: Michigan Wolverines +5 (56-51). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Ohio State Buckeyes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Deshaun Thomas * 40 8-13 3-6 6-7 13 1 0 0 1 25 25 -
William Buford * 40 3-12 0-3 0-2 6 2 1 0 2 6 1 -
Aaron Craft * 36 1-6 0-2 2-2 2 3 2 0 2 4 3 -
Jared Sullinger * 35 6-14 0-3 2-2 8 1 1 0 3 14 7 -
L. Smith Jr. * 28 1-3 0-2 0-0 1 2 2 0 3 2 1 -
Sam Thompson 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 1 0 2 -
Shannon Scott 4 0-0 0-0 0-2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Amir Williams 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
Evan Ravenel 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Michigan Wolverines

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Blake McLimans 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Stu Douglass * 38 3-9 1-5 0-0 2 1 1 0 0 7 2 -
T. Hardaway Jr. * 38 4-5 2-2 3-5 3 0 0 0 4 13 7 -
Trey Burke * 37 6-14 0-1 5-8 2 5 0 0 3 17 7 -
Jordan Morgan * 35 5-8 0-0 1-1 11 1 2 0 0 11 17 -
Zack Novak * 28 3-7 0-3 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 6 -1 -
Evan Smotrycz 18 1-4 0-2 0-0 5 1 0 0 1 2 3 -
Matt Vogrich 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
Colton Christian 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter