🐻⬇️🏀

Northern Iowa

Also known as: Northern Iowa Panthers, Northern Iowa
Program History

2013 Team Stats (6 games)

61.0
PPG
60.8
Opp
+5.0
Margin
42.1%
FG%
32.5%
3P%
74.5%
FT%
29.8
RPG
10.7
APG
12.8
TO
70.7
Pace

Model Outputs

2012-2013
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1316 (#153) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1375 (#101) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +147 elo More → 1119 (#37) HCA +147 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.0 More → +28.8 (#100) HCA +3.0
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.3 More → +16.0 (#77) HCA +3.3
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.485 (#60) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -1.0 More → 0.469 (#102) NetEff -1.0
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +0.1 More → 0.504 (#62) AdjNet +0.1
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +0.3 More → 0.508 (#62) AdjNet +0.3
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 64.3 | AdjD 57.9 More → 0.641 (#75) AdjO 64.3 | AdjD 57.9
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.843 (#67) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.820 (#69) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 96 | GP 36 More → 1204 (#61) RD 96 | GP 36

2013 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2012-11-10 vs Wartburg Knights W 103 - 50
2012-11-14 vs Toledo Rockets W 84 - 81
2012-11-17 vs North Dakota Fighting Hawks W 72 - 47
2012-11-22 @ Louisville Cardinals L 46 - 51
2012-11-23 vs Stanford Cardinal L 50 - 66
2012-11-24 vs Memphis Tigers L 47 - 52
2012-12-01 vs Milwaukee Panthers W 72 - 61
2012-12-05 vs Northern Colorado Bears W 76 - 59
2012-12-08 @ George Mason Patriots W 82 - 77
2012-12-15 @ Iowa Hawkeyes L 73 - 80
2012-12-19 @ UNLV Rebels L 59 - 73
2012-12-23 vs Saint Mary's Gaels W 82 - 75
2012-12-30 @ Wichita State Shockers L 41 - 66
2013-01-02 vs Indiana State Sycamores L 61 - 65
2013-01-05 @ Illinois State Redbirds W 70 - 60
2013-01-09 vs Evansville Purple Aces L 59 - 62
2013-01-12 vs Bradley Braves W 84 - 53
2013-01-15 @ Creighton Bluejays L 68 - 79
2013-01-20 vs Drake Bulldogs W 85 - 55
2013-01-23 vs Southern Illinois Salukis W 58 - 45
2013-01-26 @ Indiana State Sycamores L 58 - 59
2013-01-29 @ Evansville Purple Aces L 51 - 54
2013-02-02 vs Wichita State Shockers W 57 - 52
2013-02-05 vs Missouri State Bears W 48 - 37
2013-02-10 @ Bradley Braves W 68 - 65
2013-02-13 vs Creighton Bluejays W 61 - 54
2013-02-16 @ Drake Bulldogs W 71 - 64
2013-02-19 @ Missouri State Bears W 69 - 63
2013-02-23 vs Denver Pioneers L 57 - 63
2013-02-27 @ Southern Illinois Salukis L 57 - 63
2013-03-02 vs Illinois State Redbirds W 80 - 72
2013-03-08 vs Illinois State Redbirds W 35 - 34
2013-03-20 vs North Dakota Fighting Hawks W 77 - 66
2013-03-23 vs UIC Flames W 63 - 51
2013-03-26 vs Bradley Braves W 90 - 77
2013-03-30 vs Weber State Wildcats L 56 - 59

2013 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
A. James A. James G 31 32.0 13.1 3.7 2.1 0.9 0.0 2.5 3.4 14.0 106 3.3 4.4 41.3 31.0 65.0 0.82 180.4 45.7
S. Tuttle S. Tuttle F 35 25.9 11.2 6.5 1.7 1.0 0.7 1.9 1.9 17.3 121 3.4 5.8 50.8 40.0 66.7 0.92 259.4 52.3
M. Sonnen M. Sonnen G 35 33.4 10.7 2.4 1.3 0.9 0.2 0.9 1.9 12.7 168 4.7 6.3 42.6 42.6 100.0 1.51 268.1 57.4
J. Koch J. Koch F 35 28.7 10.5 6.5 2.1 1.2 1.2 2.2 2.1 17.3 174 4.8 7.2 39.2 15.4 83.9 1.57 186.5 41.9
D. Mitchell D. Mitchell G 34 27.1 8.9 2.3 3.6 1.2 0.0 2.4 2.4 11.3 134 3.8 5.9 42.0 20.8 56.0 1.46 164.7 45.1
M. Bohannon M. Bohannon G 35 20.9 4.9 2.1 0.3 0.4 0.0 0.6 0.9 6.1 126 3.5 6.2 37.5 45.5 100.0 0.55 255.1 53.1
N. Buss N. Buss F 23 9.7 3.9 1.2 0.4 0.0 0.3 0.5 1.1 4.2 26 1.0 3.9 56.0 45.5 100.0 0.45 171.9 66.0
C. Rank C. Rank F 35 15.5 3.0 2.5 0.5 0.4 0.0 0.6 1.1 4.8 -14 -0.4 -0.9 44.7 41.4 50.0 -0.53 132.0 60.5
M. Morrison M. Morrison G 12 7.5 2.2 0.8 1.0 0.1 0.0 0.3 1.1 2.8 27 1.9 9.4 61.5 66.7 100.0 0.58 97.3 69.2
M. Singleton M. Singleton F 22 6.8 2.0 1.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.4 0.4 3.0 23 1.0 6.1 66.7 50.0 75.0 0.4 179.7 72.2
M. Martino M. Martino G 20 9.0 1.1 1.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.3 0.3 1.9 18 0.8 3.1 33.3 25.0 0.0 -0.04 152.6 41.7
A. Pehl A. Pehl C 26 5.8 0.8 1.6 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.4 0.5 2.0 38 1.5 8.6 41.7 0 0 0.73 87.5 41.7

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG