Model Predictions
| Model | Evansville Purple Aces | Northern Iowa Panthers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 25.5% | 74.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 22.1% | 77.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 8.8% | 91.2% | +12.9 | ✗ (15.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.1% | 50.9% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 14.9% | 85.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 51.5% | 48.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 52.8% | 47.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Northern Iowa Panthers -3 (59-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Evansville Purple Aces
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Ryan * | 37 | 7-17 | 3-7 | 4-4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 21 | 8 | - |
| T. Taylor * | 36 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 9 | - |
| N. Cox * | 27 | 2-7 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| L. Jones * | 20 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 5 | - |
| E. Mockevicius * | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| D.J. Balentine | 18 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| A. Wing | 15 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - |
| J. Jahr | 14 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| R. Sawvell | 12 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| J. Moore | 10 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
Northern Iowa Panthers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Sonnen * | 37 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | - |
| A. James * | 37 | 8-18 | 1-7 | 2-4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 5 | - |
| S. Tuttle * | 30 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 12 | - |
| J. Koch * | 28 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 3-5 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 10 | - |
| A. Pehl * | 10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| M. Bohannon | 22 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | - |
| D. Mitchell | 14 | 0-5 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2 | - |
| C. Rank | 12 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | - |
| N. Buss | 7 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| M. Martino | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter