Model Predictions
| Model | Northern Iowa Panthers | George Mason Patriots | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 23.9% | 76.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 32.3% | 67.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 34.8% | 65.2% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 47.5% | 52.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 37.0% | 63.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 37.2% | 62.8% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 34.7% | 65.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: George Mason Patriots -5 (77-82). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Northern Iowa Panthers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marc Sonnen * | 38 | 7-14 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 11 | +6.7 |
| Anthony James * | 38 | 6-13 | 1-3 | 6-8 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 10 | +5.8 |
| Seth Tuttle * | 36 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 12-14 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 20 | +3.1 |
| Jake Koch * | 33 | 0-4 | 0-4 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 4 | +3.1 |
| Deon Mitchell * | 27 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 7 | -1.4 |
| Matt Bohannon | 25 | 3-4 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 9 | -8.7 |
| Nate Buss | 12 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | -7.5 |
| Chip Rank | 9 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -5.1 |
| Max Martino | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -5.5 |
George Mason Patriots
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sherrod Wright * | 38 | 7-10 | 2-2 | 4-4 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 16 | +6.1 |
| Johnny Williams * | 31 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | -7.7 |
| Anali Okoloji * | 26 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 8 | -14.4 |
| Corey Edwards * | 23 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 8 | +5.5 |
| Erik Copes * | 15 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | +3.8 |
| Marko Gujanicic | 29 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 2 | -3.1 |
| Bryon Allen | 21 | 5-8 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 8 | -4.3 |
| Patrick Holloway | 18 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | +13.2 |
| Jonathan Arledge | 12 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | +11.5 |
| Vertrail Vaughns | 12 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | +9.1 |
* = starter