Model Predictions
| Model | Northern Iowa Panthers | Evansville Purple Aces | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 51.5% | 48.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 51.3% | 48.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 53.5% | 46.5% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 51.7% | 48.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 73.8% | 26.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 74.1% | 25.9% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 53.2% | 46.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Evansville Purple Aces +3 (54-51). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Northern Iowa Panthers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marc Sonnen * | 38 | 4-8 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 9 | -9.8 |
| Deon Mitchell * | 38 | 4-12 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 7 | -6.4 |
| Jake Koch * | 36 | 4-10 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 4 | -9.0 |
| Anthony James * | 35 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | -4 | +1.9 |
| Seth Tuttle * | 29 | 4-11 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 9 | -5.2 |
| Matt Bohannon | 19 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | -1.1 |
| Chip Rank | 16 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -2.0 |
| Austin Pehl | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | +2.2 |
| Max Martino | 5 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | +0.0 |
Evansville Purple Aces
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colt Ryan * | 43 | 8-17 | 3-8 | 4-5 | 4 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 18 | +9.5 |
| Ned Cox * | 36 | 4-9 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 2 | +2.2 |
| Egidijus Mockevicius * | 36 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 15 | +5.9 |
| Troy Taylor * | 33 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 12 | +7.7 |
| Lewis Jones * | 20 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | -2.9 |
| D.J. Balentine | 18 | 1-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -2 | -0.2 |
| Adam Wing | 14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | +7.4 |
| Ryan Sawvell | 10 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +4.4 |
| Jordan Nelson | 8 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | +7.1 |
| Jaylon Moore | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1.1 |
* = starter