Model Predictions
| Model | Southern Illinois Salukis | Northern Iowa Panthers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 7.9% | 92.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 33.3% | 66.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 25.1% | 74.9% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 40.7% | 59.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 10.2% | 89.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 10.0% | 90.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 25.9% | 74.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Northern Iowa Panthers +13 (58-45). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Southern Illinois Salukis
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Desmar Jackson * | 30 | 4-10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 5 | -0.8 |
| Kendal Brown-Surles * | 29 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | +3.0 |
| Anthony Beane * | 27 | 3-9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -1 | -10.6 |
| Jeff Early * | 27 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | -4.9 |
| Tiel Daniels * | 22 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 4 | +5.4 |
| Josh Swan | 27 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | -5.3 |
| T.J. Lindsay | 15 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +2.1 |
| Jalen Pendleton | 10 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +3.4 |
| Davante Drinkard | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -0.2 |
| Colby Long | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +6.2 |
Northern Iowa Panthers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony James * | 35 | 5-8 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 14 | +10.7 |
| Marc Sonnen * | 34 | 5-9 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 12 | +9.0 |
| Jake Koch * | 32 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 9 | +8.1 |
| Seth Tuttle * | 27 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 11 | +1.8 |
| Deon Mitchell * | 21 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | +2.4 |
| Matt Bohannon | 23 | 3-4 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 5 | -11.2 |
| Chip Rank | 14 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | -4.3 |
| Max Martino | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -6.1 |
| Nate Buss | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | -5.0 |
| Marvin Singleton | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.1 |
| Austin Pehl | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.1 |
* = starter