Model Predictions
| Model | Northern Colorado Bears | Northern Iowa Panthers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 10.8% | 89.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 32.8% | 67.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 25.7% | 74.3% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 27.6% | 72.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 8.6% | 91.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 8.5% | 91.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 26.0% | 74.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Northern Iowa Panthers +17 (76-59). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Northern Colorado Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tevin Svihovec * | 32 | 5-9 | 0-1 | 6-7 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 15 | +3.1 |
| Tate Unruh * | 31 | 5-13 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 4 | +1.2 |
| Emmanuel Addo * | 28 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | +1.3 |
| Connor Osborne * | 24 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | -16.3 |
| Tim Huskisson * | 22 | 0-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | -6 | -24.6 |
| Paul Garnica | 27 | 5-7 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 8 | -7.5 |
| Derrick Barden | 21 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -9.8 |
| James Davis Jr. | 8 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | -2.8 |
| Brendan Keane | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +1.6 |
Northern Iowa Panthers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marc Sonnen * | 26 | 4-7 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 10 | +0.5 |
| Matt Bohannon * | 26 | 3-7 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 7 | +4.0 |
| Anthony James * | 26 | 3-10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | -1 | +27.6 |
| Jake Koch * | 23 | 6-8 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 17 | 19 | +17.1 |
| Seth Tuttle * | 22 | 5-6 | 1-1 | 3-6 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 18 | +23.2 |
| Max Martino | 20 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 9 | +10.8 |
| Chip Rank | 17 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -7.9 |
| Nate Buss | 15 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | -8.3 |
| Deon Mitchell | 13 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 8 | +3.6 |
| Matt Morrison | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -10.3 |
| Austin Pehl | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -5.9 |
| Marvin Singleton | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -5.7 |
* = starter