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NC State Wolfpack

Season: 2027 preview 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: NC State Wolfpack
Program History
Coach: Kevin Keatts

2019 Team Stats (15 games)

76.5
PPG
77.8
Opp
-1.3
Margin
44.8%
FG%
34.1%
3P%
69.9%
FT%
34.9
RPG
13.6
APG
13.1
TO
-
Est. poss./game
81.7
Adj PPG
68.9
Adj Opp PPG
#27
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2018-2019
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. Historical Elo fit predates the season cutoff fix and has no verified season-bounded input receipt. More → Data withheld: source-integrity hold Historical Elo fit predates the season cutoff fix and has no verified season-bounded input receipt.
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1183 (#50) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +83 elo More → 1053 (#95) HCA +83 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.8 More → +13.8 (#29) HCA +2.8
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.7 More → +9.2 (#54) HCA +2.7
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.790 (#34) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +18.9 More → 0.898 (#38) AdjNet +18.9
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +19.1 More → 0.902 (#36) AdjNet +19.1
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 81.7 | AdjD 68.9 More → 0.763 (#27) AdjO 81.7 | AdjD 68.9
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 75.9 | AdjD 70.8 More → 0.616 (#60) AdjO 75.9 | AdjD 70.8
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.771 (#39) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.746 (#48) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 97 | GP 36 More → 1211 (#44) RD 97 | GP 36

2019 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2018-11-06 vs Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers W 105 - 55
2018-11-10 vs Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks W 95 - 49
2018-11-13 vs UNC Asheville Bulldogs W 100 - 49
2018-11-17 vs Maine Black Bears W 82 - 63
2018-11-20 vs Saint Peter's Peacocks W 85 - 57
2018-11-24 vs Mercer Bears W 78 - 74
2018-11-27 @ Wisconsin Badgers L 75 - 79
2018-12-01 vs Vanderbilt Commodores W 80 - 65
2018-12-05 vs Western Carolina Catamounts W 100 - 67
2018-12-15 @ Penn State Nittany Lions W 89 - 78
2018-12-19 vs Auburn Tigers W 78 - 71
2018-12-22 vs South Carolina Upstate Spartans W 98 - 71
2018-12-28 vs Loyola Maryland Greyhounds W 97 - 64
2019-01-03 @ Miami Hurricanes W 87 - 82
2019-01-08 vs North Carolina Tar Heels L 82 - 90
2019-01-12 vs Pittsburgh Panthers W 86 - 80
2019-01-15 @ Wake Forest Demon Deacons L 67 - 71
2019-01-19 @ Notre Dame Fighting Irish W 77 - 73
2019-01-24 @ Louisville Cardinals L 77 - 84
2019-01-26 vs Clemson Tigers W 69 - 67
2019-01-29 vs Virginia Cavaliers L 65 - 66
2019-02-02 vs Virginia Tech Hokies L 24 - 47
2019-02-05 @ North Carolina Tar Heels L 96 - 113
2019-02-09 @ Pittsburgh Panthers W 79 - 76
2019-02-13 vs Syracuse Orange W 73 - 58
2019-02-16 @ Duke Blue Devils L 78 - 94
2019-02-20 vs Boston College Eagles W 89 - 80
2019-02-24 vs Wake Forest Demon Deacons W 94 - 74
2019-03-02 @ Florida State Seminoles L 73 - 78
2019-03-06 vs Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets L 61 - 63
2019-03-09 @ Boston College Eagles W 73 - 47
2019-03-13 vs Clemson Tigers W 59 - 58
2019-03-14 @ Virginia Cavaliers L 56 - 76
2019-03-19 vs Hofstra Pride W 84 - 78
2019-03-24 vs Harvard Crimson W 78 - 77
2019-03-27 vs Lipscomb Bisons L 93 - 94

2019 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
T. Dorn T. Dorn G 34 28.7 14.1 7.1 1.3 1.0 0.2 1.4 6.8 15.5 122 33 3.7 5.5 44.3 23.4 59.1 -0.62 96.0 46.7
M. Johnson M. Johnson G 31 25.1 12.4 2.4 4.2 1.0 0.2 2.2 5.1 12.8 141 30 4.7 7.7 46.5 37.8 78.3 2.91 107.1 57.2
C.J. Bryce C.J. Bryce G 34 27.1 11.6 4.7 1.7 1.2 0.4 1.4 5.1 13.1 154 33 4.7 7.3 47.4 42.1 72.7 1.5 100.2 54.3
B. Beverly B. Beverly G 33 29.8 9.5 1.5 2.5 0.8 0.0 1.2 5.4 7.8 123 32 3.8 5.5 39.3 35.8 71.4 2.76 82.0 51.7
D. Daniels D. Daniels G 34 23.4 9.2 4.2 1.4 0.9 0.6 1.8 4.5 10.1 133 33 4.0 7.5 42.2 31.2 60.7 0.83 94.4 47.1
DJ Funderburk DJ Funderburk F 34 19.8 8.9 4.0 0.4 0.5 0.9 1.0 3.0 10.8 131 33 4.0 8.7 57.3 28.6 76.4 3.54 119.5 59.2
J. Hellems J. Hellems F 34 13.5 5.0 2.5 0.6 0.4 0.3 0.9 3.0 4.8 98 33 3.0 9.4 35.3 25.7 68.8 0.67 77.5 39.7
W. Walker W. Walker F 34 17.9 4.7 4.5 0.9 0.4 0.9 1.1 2.0 8.3 114 33 3.5 8.0 55.9 50.0 73.1 0.68 100.7 57.4
E. Lockett E. Lockett G 25 15.5 4.4 2.9 1.2 0.6 0.2 0.7 2.3 6.2 70 23 3.0 8.6 48.3 38.1 63.6 -2.19 86.7 55.2
I. Steere I. Steere F 1 5.0 4.0 4.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 9.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
B. Harris B. Harris G 28 9.2 3.0 1.1 1.5 0.7 0.0 1.1 1.0 4.2 94 27 3.5 15.9 21.4 14.3 70.6 0.65 119.8 23.2

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG