Model Predictions
| Model | NC State Wolfpack | Louisville Cardinals | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 37.5% | 62.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 48.4% | 51.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 46.7% | 53.3% | +0.7 | ✓ (6.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 33.3% | 66.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 26.5% | 73.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 13.3% | 86.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 12.9% | 87.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Louisville Cardinals +7 (84-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.
NC State Wolfpack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Beverly * | 39 | 7-11 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 9 | - |
| T. Dorn * | 33 | 7-17 | 1-4 | 3-5 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 5 | - |
| C.J. Bryce * | 33 | 6-12 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 12 | - |
| D. Daniels * | 25 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 7 | - |
| DJ Funderburk * | 20 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| E. Lockett | 22 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| W. Walker | 15 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| J. Hellems | 12 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | - |
| B. Harris | 1 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
Louisville Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Nwora * | 37 | 3-12 | 0-7 | 7-10 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 8 | - |
| C. Cunningham * | 34 | 4-7 | 0-2 | 9-11 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 17 | - |
| K. Fore * | 31 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 10 | - |
| D. Sutton * | 24 | 4-7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 1 | - |
| M. Williams * | 21 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 4-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 14 | 15 | - |
| S. Enoch | 19 | 4-7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 5 | - |
| R. McMahon | 19 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6 | - |
| D. Perry | 10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| V.J. King | 5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
* = starter