Model Predictions
| Model | Auburn Tigers | NC State Wolfpack | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 69.6% | 30.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 44.7% | 55.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 72.8% | 27.2% | -5.4 | ✗ (12.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 66.4% | 33.6% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 86.6% | 13.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 83.2% | 16.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 83.4% | 16.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: NC State Wolfpack +7 (78-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Auburn Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Okeke | 32 | 3-8 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 10 | - |
| M. Dunbar | 20 | 5-8 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 8 | - |
| J. Harper * | 37 | 5-16 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 0 | - |
| B. Brown * | 26 | 1-6 | 0-4 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 3 | -3 | - |
| S. Doughty * | 20 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 2 | - |
| A. McLemore * | 13 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| M. Dunbar | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 16 | - |
| A. Wiley | 20 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 12 | - |
| J. McCormick | 17 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 14 | - |
| D. Purifoy | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| H. Spencer | 7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
NC State Wolfpack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Beverly * | 34 | 5-6 | 4-5 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 9 | - |
| M. Johnson * | 33 | 9-15 | 5-8 | 4-8 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 27 | 22 | - |
| T. Dorn * | 27 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 4 | - |
| W. Walker * | 25 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 4 | - |
| C.J. Bryce * | 12 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - |
| D. Daniels | 26 | 7-13 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 9 | - |
| J. Hellems | 17 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | - |
| DJ Funderburk | 15 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | - |
| B. Harris | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | -2 | - |
* = starter