Model Predictions
| Model | Auburn Tigers | NC State Wolfpack | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | Data withheld: source-integrity hold | |||
| Bradley-Terry | 66.0% | 34.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 65.5% | 34.5% | -3.5 | ✗ (10.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.0% | 52.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 76.0% | 24.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 76.2% | 23.8% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 56.7% | 43.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: NC State Wolfpack +7 (78-71). Ratings: 2018-19 season-end ratings.
Auburn Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chuma Okeke | 32 | 3-8 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 10 | - |
| Malik Dunbar | 20 | 5-8 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 8 | - |
| Jared Harper * | 37 | 5-16 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 0 | - |
| Bryce Brown * | 26 | 1-6 | 0-4 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 3 | -3 | - |
| Samir Doughty * | 20 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 2 | - |
| Anfernee McLemore * | 13 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Malik Dunbar | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 16 | - |
| Austin Wiley | 20 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 12 | - |
| J'Von McCormick | 17 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 14 | - |
| Danjel Purifoy | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Horace Spencer | 7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
NC State Wolfpack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Braxton Beverly * | 34 | 5-6 | 4-5 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 9 | - |
| Markell Johnson * | 33 | 9-15 | 5-8 | 4-8 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 27 | 22 | - |
| Torin Dorn * | 27 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Wyatt Walker * | 25 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 4 | - |
| C.J. Bryce * | 12 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - |
| Devon Daniels | 26 | 7-13 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 9 | - |
| Jericole Hellems | 17 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | - |
| DJ Funderburk | 15 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Blake Harris | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | -2 | - |
* = starter